Arnold, Lutz G. (2003) Growth in Stages. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 14 (1), pp. 55-74.
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Existing North–South growth models generally ignore the possibility that the South becomes an innovating high-wage country. The present paper presents an analytically tractable North–South growth model in which the North innovates all the time, while the South is at first engaged in imitation and potentially starts to innovate too, later on. Three interesting results emerge from the analysis. First, a perfect foresight growth equilibrium may fail to exist. Second, there may be global indeterminacy in that both convergence to the steady state of the regime with imitation in the South and switching to the regime with innovation in the South represent perfect foresight equilibria. Third, technology policies in the South may have hysteresis effects: a temporary policy may lead the South permanently from imitation-driven to innovation-driven growth.
|Institutions:||Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Theoretische Volkswirtschaft (Prof. Dr. Lutz Arnold)|
|Keywords:||Innovation; Imitation; North–South trade; Regime switching; Global indeterminacy|
|Subjects:||300 Social sciences > 330 Economics|
|Refereed:||Yes, this version has been refereed|
|Created at the University of Regensburg:||Unknown|
|Deposited On:||28 Jun 2010 06:33|
|Last Modified:||28 Jun 2010 06:33|