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Dorofeenko, Victor ; Lee, Gabriel ; Salyer, Kevin

Risk Shocks and Housing Markets

Dorofeenko, Victor, Lee, Gabriel and Salyer, Kevin (2010) Risk Shocks and Housing Markets. IHS Working Paper 249, Wien.

Date of publication of this fulltext: 12 Mar 2010 12:53
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.13463


Abstract

This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty in a multi-sector housing model with financial frictions. We include time varying uncertainty (i.e. risk shocks) in the technology shocks that affect housing production. The analysis demonstrates that risk shocks to the housing production sector are a quantitatively important impulse mechanism for the business cycle. Also, we demonstrate that bankruptcy ...

This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty in a multi-sector housing model with financial frictions. We include time varying uncertainty (i.e. risk shocks) in the technology shocks that
affect housing production. The analysis demonstrates that risk shocks to the housing production sector are a quantitatively important impulse mechanism for the business cycle.
Also, we demonstrate that bankruptcy costs act as an endogenous markup factor in housing prices; as a consequence, the volatility of housing prices is greater than that of output, as
observed in the data. The model can also account for the observed countercyclical behavior of risk premia on loans to the housing sector.



Involved Institutions


Details

Item typeMonograph (UNSPECIFIED)
Place of Publication:Wien
Other Series:IHS Working Paper
Volume:249
Number of Pages:42
DateFebruary 2010
InstitutionsBusiness, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienökonomie (Prof. Dr. Gabriel Lee)
Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Immobilienenwirtschaft / IRE|BS > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienökonomie (Prof. Dr. Gabriel Lee)
Related URLs
URLURL Type
http://ideas.repec.org/p/ihs/ihsesp/249.htmlPublisher
Classification
NotationType
E4, E5, E2, R2, R3Journal of Economics Literature Classification
KeywordsAgency costs, credit channel, time-varying uncertainty, residential investment, housing production, calibration
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
StatusPublished
RefereedNo, this version has not been refereed yet (as with preprints)
Created at the University of RegensburgYes
URN of the UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-134637
Item ID13463

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