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Risk and Policy Shocks on the US Term Structure
Weber, Enzo und Wolters, Jürgen (2010) Risk and Policy Shocks on the US Term Structure. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft 438, Working Paper.Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 17 Mrz 2010 13:17
Monographie
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.13579
Zusammenfassung
We document two stylised facts of US short- and long-term interest rate data incompatible with the pure expectations hypothesis: Relatively slow adjustment to long-run relations and low contemporaneous correlation. We construct a small structural model which features three types of randomness: While a persistent monetary policy shock implies immediate identical reactions through the term ...
We document two stylised facts of US short- and long-term interest rate data incompatible with the pure expectations hypothesis: Relatively slow adjustment to long-run relations and low contemporaneous correlation. We construct a small structural model which features three types of randomness: While a persistent monetary policy shock implies immediate identical reactions through the term structure, both a transitory policy shock and an autocorrelated risk premium allow for the sustained decoupling observed in the data. Indeed, we find important impacts and persistence of risk premia and a decomposition of policy shocks judging a larger part as transitory the longer the investment horizon.
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Details
| Dokumentenart | Monographie (Working Paper) | ||||||
| Schriftenreihe der Universität Regensburg: | Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft | ||||||
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| Band: | 438 | ||||||
| Seitenanzahl: | 17 | ||||||
| Datum | 16 März 2010 | ||||||
| Institutionen | Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie | ||||||
| Themenverbund | Immobilien- und Kapitalmärkte | ||||||
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| Klassifikation |
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| Stichwörter / Keywords | Expectations Hypothesis, Risk Premium, Policy Reaction Function, Persistence, Transitory Shocks | ||||||
| Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation | 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft | ||||||
| Status | Veröffentlicht | ||||||
| Begutachtet | Nie, das Dokument wird nicht wissenschaftlich begutachtet werden | ||||||
| An der Universität Regensburg entstanden | Ja | ||||||
| URN der UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-135796 | ||||||
| Dokumenten-ID | 13579 |
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