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Non-Stationary Interest Rate Differentials and the Role of Monetary Policy
Matros, Philipp and Weber, Enzo (2010) Non-Stationary Interest Rate Differentials and the Role of Monetary Policy. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft 450, Working Paper.Date of publication of this fulltext: 22 Dec 2010 06:42
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.18854
Abstract
The present work deals with a frequently detected failure of the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) - the absence of bivariate cointegration between domestic and foreign interest rates. We explain non-stationarity of the interest differential via central bank reactions to exchange rate variations. Thereby, the exchange rate in levels introduces an additional stochastic trend into the system. ...
The present work deals with a frequently detected failure of the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) - the absence of bivariate cointegration between domestic and foreign interest rates. We explain non-stationarity of the interest differential via central bank reactions to exchange rate variations. Thereby, the exchange rate in levels introduces an additional stochastic trend into the system. Trivariate cointegration between the interest rates and the exchange rate accounts for the missing stationarity property of the interest differential. We apply the concept to the case of Turkey and Europe, where we can validate the theoretical considerations by multivariate time series techniques.
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Details
| Item type | Monograph (Working Paper) | ||||||||
| Series of the University of Regensburg: | Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft | ||||||||
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| Volume: | 450 | ||||||||
| Date | 21 December 2010 | ||||||||
| Institutions | Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie | ||||||||
| Interdisciplinary Subject Network | Immobilien- und Kapitalmärkte | ||||||||
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| Keywords | Uncovered Interest Rate Parity, Monetary Policy Rules, Cointegration, Vector-Error Correction Model | ||||||||
| Dewey Decimal Classification | 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics | ||||||||
| Status | Published | ||||||||
| Refereed | No, this document will not be refereed | ||||||||
| Created at the University of Regensburg | Yes | ||||||||
| URN of the UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-188543 | ||||||||
| Item ID | 18854 |
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