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Matros, Philipp ; Weber, Enzo

Non-Stationary Interest Rate Differentials and the Role of Monetary Policy

Matros, Philipp and Weber, Enzo (2010) Non-Stationary Interest Rate Differentials and the Role of Monetary Policy. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft 450, Working Paper.

Date of publication of this fulltext: 22 Dec 2010 06:42
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.18854


Abstract

The present work deals with a frequently detected failure of the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) - the absence of bivariate cointegration between domestic and foreign interest rates. We explain non-stationarity of the interest differential via central bank reactions to exchange rate variations. Thereby, the exchange rate in levels introduces an additional stochastic trend into the system. ...

The present work deals with a frequently detected failure of the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) - the absence of bivariate cointegration between domestic and foreign interest rates. We explain non-stationarity of the interest differential via central bank reactions to exchange rate variations. Thereby, the exchange rate in levels introduces an additional stochastic trend into the system. Trivariate cointegration between the interest rates and the exchange rate accounts for the missing stationarity property of the interest differential. We apply the concept to the case of Turkey and Europe, where we can validate the theoretical considerations by multivariate time series techniques.



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Details

Item typeMonograph (Working Paper)
Series of the University of Regensburg:Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft
Volume:450
Date21 December 2010
InstitutionsBusiness, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie
Interdisciplinary Subject NetworkImmobilien- und Kapitalmärkte
Identification Number
ValueType
RePEc:bay:rdwiwi:18854RePEc Handle
Classification
NotationType
E44Journal of Economics Literature Classification
F31Journal of Economics Literature Classification
C32Journal of Economics Literature Classification
KeywordsUncovered Interest Rate Parity, Monetary Policy Rules, Cointegration, Vector-Error Correction Model
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
StatusPublished
RefereedNo, this document will not be refereed
Created at the University of RegensburgYes
URN of the UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-188543
Item ID18854

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