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The perception of Brexit uncertainty and how it affects markets
Article
Kreuzer, Christian, Priberny, Christopher
and Huther, Johannes
(2024)
The perception of Brexit uncertainty and how it affects markets.
Credit and Capital Markets 57, pp. 31-47.
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.76576
Abstract
We empirically study the perception of political uncertainty by UK’s stock markets, covering the entire Brexit period from January 2013 to March 2020. We find that indices dominated by the largest capitalized companies anticipate negatively perceived events already prior to the actual event, whereas positive events only effect them on the event day or following. In contrast, the FTSE 250, ...
We empirically study the perception of political uncertainty by UK’s stock markets, covering the entire Brexit period from January 2013 to March 2020. We find that indices dominated by the largest capitalized companies anticipate negatively perceived events already prior to the actual event, whereas positive events only effect them on the event day or following. In contrast, the FTSE 250, composed of medium-sized companies, tends to
move prior to positively perceived events. Furthermore, we investigate the daily perception of Brexit measured by a metric based on Google Trends. Our results show that perception significantly affects all major UK indices.
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Details
| Item type | Article | ||||
| Journal or Publication Title | Credit and Capital Markets | ||||
| Publisher | Duncker & Humblot | ||||
| Open Access Type | CC-License | ||||
| Volume | 57 | ||||
| Page Range | pp. 31-47 | ||||
| Date | 2024 | ||||
| Date of publication | 15 Apr 2025 04:30 | ||||
| Institutions | Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre > Lehrstuhl für Finanzierung (Prof. Dr. Gregor Dorfleitner) | ||||
| Interdisciplinary Subject Network | Immobilien- und Kapitalmärkte | ||||
| Research groups and research centres | Center of Finance | ||||
| Identification Number |
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| Classification |
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| Keywords | Brexit, event study, perception, Google Trends, GJR-GARCH, United King- dom | ||||
| Dewey Decimal Classification | 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics | ||||
| Status | Published | ||||
| Refereed | Yes, this version has been refereed | ||||
| Created at the University of Regensburg | Partially | ||||
| URN of the UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-765767 | ||||
| Item ID | 76576 |
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