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Kellner, Florian ; Lienland, Bernhard ; Utz, Sebastian

A multi‐criteria decision‐making approach for assembling optimal powertrain technology portfolios in low GHG emission environments

Kellner, Florian , Lienland, Bernhard und Utz, Sebastian (2021) A multi‐criteria decision‐making approach for assembling optimal powertrain technology portfolios in low GHG emission environments. Journal of Industrial Ecology 25, S. 1412-1429.

Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 17 Mai 2021 09:46
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.45693


Zusammenfassung

Environmental regulations force car manufacturers to renew the powertrain technology portfolio offered to the customer to comply with greenhouse gas (GHG) emission targets. In turn, automotive companies face the task of identifying the "right" powertrain technology portfolio consisting of, for example, internal combustion engines and electric vehicles, because the selection of a particular ...

Environmental regulations force car manufacturers to renew the powertrain technology portfolio offered to the customer to comply with greenhouse gas (GHG) emission targets. In turn, automotive companies face the task of identifying the "right" powertrain technology portfolio consisting of, for example, internal combustion engines and electric vehicles, because the selection of a particular powertrain technology portfolio affects different company targets simultaneously. What makes this decision even more challenging is that future market shares of the different technologies are uncertain. Our research presents a new decision-support approach for assembling optimal powertrain technology portfolios while making decision-makers aware of the trade-offs between the achievable profit, the achievable market share, the market share risk, and the GHG emissions generated by the selected vehicle fleet. The proposed approach combines "a posteriori" decision-making with multi-objective optimization. In an application case, we feed the outlooks of selected market studies into the proposed decision-support system. The result is a visualization and analysis of the current real-world decision-making problem faced by many automotive companies. Our findings indicate that for the proposed GHG restriction at work in 2030 in the European Union, no optimal powertrain technology portfolio with less than 35% of vehicles equipped with an electric motor exists.



Beteiligte Einrichtungen


Details

DokumentenartArtikel
Titel eines Journals oder einer ZeitschriftJournal of Industrial Ecology
Verlag:Wiley
Ort der Veröffentlichung:HOBOKEN
Band:25
Seitenbereich:S. 1412-1429
Datum13 Mai 2021
InstitutionenWirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre > Lehrstuhl für Controlling und Logistik (Prof. Dr. Andreas Otto)
Identifikationsnummer
WertTyp
10.1111/jiec.13148DOI
Stichwörter / KeywordsSUPPLIER SELECTION; SUSTAINABILITY; IMPLEMENTATION; PROJECTS; automotive sector; decision‐ support system; industrial ecology; portfolio optimization; powertrain technologies; technology selection
Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft
StatusVeröffentlicht
BegutachtetJa, diese Version wurde begutachtet
An der Universität Regensburg entstandenJa
URN der UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-456935
Dokumenten-ID45693

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