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Häffner, Sonja ; Hofer, Martin ; Nagl, Maximilian ; Walterskirchen, Julian

Introducing an Interpretable Deep Learning Approach to Domain-Specific Dictionary Creation: A Use Case for Conflict Prediction

Häffner, Sonja, Hofer, Martin , Nagl, Maximilian und Walterskirchen, Julian (2023) Introducing an Interpretable Deep Learning Approach to Domain-Specific Dictionary Creation: A Use Case for Conflict Prediction. Political Analysis, S. 1-19.

Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 17 Apr 2023 12:42
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.54057


Zusammenfassung

Recent advancements in natural language processing (NLP) methods have significantly improved their performance. However, more complex NLP models are more difficult to interpret and computationally expensive. Therefore, we propose an approach to dictionary creation that carefully balances the trade-off between complexity and interpretability. This approach combines a deep neural network ...

Recent advancements in natural language processing (NLP) methods have significantly improved their performance. However, more complex NLP models are more difficult to interpret and computationally expensive. Therefore, we propose an approach to dictionary creation that carefully balances the trade-off between complexity and interpretability. This approach combines a deep neural network architecture with techniques to improve model explainability to automatically build a domain-specific dictionary. As an illustrative use case of our approach, we create an objective dictionary that can infer conflict intensity from text data. We train the neural networks on a corpus of conflict reports and match them with conflict event data. This corpus consists of over 14,000 expert-written International Crisis Group (ICG) CrisisWatch reports between 2003 and 2021. Sensitivity analysis is used to extract the weighted words from the neural network to build the dictionary. In order to evaluate our approach, we compare our results to state-of-the-art deep learning language models, text-scaling methods, as well as standard, nonspecialized, and conflict event dictionary approaches. We are able to show that our approach outperforms other approaches while retaining interpretability.



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Details

DokumentenartArtikel
Titel eines Journals oder einer ZeitschriftPolitical Analysis
Verlag:CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
Ort der Veröffentlichung:CAMBRIDGE
Seitenbereich:S. 1-19
Datum22 März 2023
InstitutionenWirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre > Lehrstuhl für Statistik und Risikomanagement (Prof. Dr. Rösch)
Identifikationsnummer
WertTyp
10.1017/pan.2023.7DOI
Stichwörter / Keywords; natural language processing; objective dictionaries; deep learning; transformers; conflict dynamics
Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft
StatusVeröffentlicht
BegutachtetJa, diese Version wurde begutachtet
An der Universität Regensburg entstandenZum Teil
URN der UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-540577
Dokumenten-ID54057

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