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Decomposing Beveridge curve dynamics by correlated unobserved components
Klinger, Sabine and Weber, Enzo (2014) Decomposing Beveridge curve dynamics by correlated unobserved components. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft 480, Working Paper.Date of publication of this fulltext: 12 May 2014 10:17
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.29927
Abstract
Between 1979 and 2009, the German labour market moved along a Beveridge curve with changing slope that used to shift outwards but shifted inwards after severe labour market reforms had come into force. We analyse these dynamics and focus on the macroeconomic outcome of the reforms. For that purpose, we construct a new empirical model that links equilibrium unemployment theory to a flexible ...
Between 1979 and 2009, the German labour market moved along a Beveridge curve with changing slope that used to shift outwards but shifted inwards after severe labour market reforms had come into force. We analyse these dynamics and focus on the macroeconomic outcome of the reforms. For that purpose, we construct a new empirical model that links equilibrium unemployment theory to a flexible unobserved components model: we disentangle permanent and transitory components of matching efficiency and separation rate as well as unemployment and vacancies. Cointegration and identification are addressed. We find that matching efficiency and separation rate each account for about half of the inward shift. Thereby, the increase in trend matching efficiency is extraordinary and testifies to a permanent improvement on the labour market. Its visibility, however, was retarded by an overlay with a structural increase in tightness.
Involved Institutions
Details
| Item type | Monograph (Working Paper) | ||||||||||||
| Series of the University of Regensburg: | Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volume: | 480 | ||||||||||||
| Number of Pages: | 38 | ||||||||||||
| Date | 9 May 2014 | ||||||||||||
| Institutions | Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie | ||||||||||||
| Classification |
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| Keywords | Beveridge curve, worker flows, tightness, unobserved components, Hartz reforms | ||||||||||||
| Dewey Decimal Classification | 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics | ||||||||||||
| Status | Published | ||||||||||||
| Refereed | No, this document will not be refereed | ||||||||||||
| Created at the University of Regensburg | Partially | ||||||||||||
| URN of the UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-299279 | ||||||||||||
| Item ID | 29927 |
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