Representation Facilitates Rea-soning: What Natural Frequencies Are and What They Are Not

URN to cite this document:: urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-343152
DOI to cite this document:: 10.5283/epub.34315

Hoffrage, U. ; Gigerenzer, G. ; Krauss, Stefan

; Martignon, L.

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Date of publication of this fulltext: 16 Aug 2016 10:39

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Abstract

A good representation can be crucial for finding the solution to a problem. Gigerenzer and Hoffrage (Psychol. Rev. 102 (1995) 684; Psychol. Rev. 106 (1999) 425) have shown that representations in terms of natural frequencies, rather than conditional probabilities, facilitate the computation of a cause's probability (or frequency) given an effect – a problem that is usually referred to as Bayesian ...