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Representation Facilitates Rea-soning: What Natural Frequencies Are and What They Are Not
Hoffrage, U., Gigerenzer, G., Krauss, Stefan
und Martignon, L.
(2002)
Representation Facilitates Rea-soning: What Natural Frequencies Are and What They Are Not.
Cognition 84 (3), S. 343-352.
Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 16 Aug 2016 10:39
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.34315
Zusammenfassung
A good representation can be crucial for finding the solution to a problem. Gigerenzer and Hoffrage (Psychol. Rev. 102 (1995) 684; Psychol. Rev. 106 (1999) 425) have shown that representations in terms of natural frequencies, rather than conditional probabilities, facilitate the computation of a cause's probability (or frequency) given an effect – a problem that is usually referred to as Bayesian ...
A good representation can be crucial for finding the solution to a problem. Gigerenzer and Hoffrage (Psychol. Rev. 102 (1995) 684; Psychol. Rev. 106 (1999) 425) have shown that representations in terms of natural frequencies, rather than conditional probabilities, facilitate the computation of a cause's probability (or frequency) given an effect – a problem that is usually referred to as Bayesian reasoning. They also have shown that normalized frequencies – which are not natural frequencies – do not lead to computational facilitation, and consequently, do not enhance people's performance. Here, we correct two misconceptions propagated in recent work (Cognition 77 (2000) 197; Cognition 78 (2001) 247; Psychol. Rev. 106 (1999) 62; Organ. Behav. Hum. Decision Process. 82 (2000) 217): normalized frequencies have been mistaken for natural frequencies and, as a consequence, “nested sets” and the “subset principle” have been proposed as new explanations. These new terms, however, are nothing more than vague labels for the basic properties of natural frequencies.
Beteiligte Einrichtungen
Details
| Dokumentenart | Artikel | ||||||
| Titel eines Journals oder einer Zeitschrift | Cognition | ||||||
| Verlag: | Elsevier | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Band: | 84 | ||||||
| Nummer des Zeitschriftenheftes oder des Kapitels: | 3 | ||||||
| Seitenbereich: | S. 343-352 | ||||||
| Datum | Juli 2002 | ||||||
| Institutionen | Mathematik > Prof. Dr. Stefan Krauss | ||||||
| Identifikationsnummer |
| ||||||
| Stichwörter / Keywords | Bayesian inference; Probability judgements; Representation of information; Natural frequencies | ||||||
| Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation | 500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 510 Mathematik | ||||||
| Status | Veröffentlicht | ||||||
| Begutachtet | Unbekannt / Keine Angabe | ||||||
| An der Universität Regensburg entstanden | Unbekannt / Keine Angabe | ||||||
| URN der UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-343152 | ||||||
| Dokumenten-ID | 34315 |
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