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Hoffrage, U. ; Gigerenzer, G. ; Krauss, Stefan ; Martignon, L.

Representation Facilitates Rea-soning: What Natural Frequencies Are and What They Are Not

Hoffrage, U., Gigerenzer, G., Krauss, Stefan und Martignon, L. (2002) Representation Facilitates Rea-soning: What Natural Frequencies Are and What They Are Not. Cognition 84 (3), S. 343-352.

Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 16 Aug 2016 10:39
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.34315


Zusammenfassung

A good representation can be crucial for finding the solution to a problem. Gigerenzer and Hoffrage (Psychol. Rev. 102 (1995) 684; Psychol. Rev. 106 (1999) 425) have shown that representations in terms of natural frequencies, rather than conditional probabilities, facilitate the computation of a cause's probability (or frequency) given an effect – a problem that is usually referred to as Bayesian ...

A good representation can be crucial for finding the solution to a problem. Gigerenzer and Hoffrage (Psychol. Rev. 102 (1995) 684; Psychol. Rev. 106 (1999) 425) have shown that representations in terms of natural frequencies, rather than conditional probabilities, facilitate the computation of a cause's probability (or frequency) given an effect – a problem that is usually referred to as Bayesian reasoning. They also have shown that normalized frequencies – which are not natural frequencies – do not lead to computational facilitation, and consequently, do not enhance people's performance. Here, we correct two misconceptions propagated in recent work (Cognition 77 (2000) 197; Cognition 78 (2001) 247; Psychol. Rev. 106 (1999) 62; Organ. Behav. Hum. Decision Process. 82 (2000) 217): normalized frequencies have been mistaken for natural frequencies and, as a consequence, “nested sets” and the “subset principle” have been proposed as new explanations. These new terms, however, are nothing more than vague labels for the basic properties of natural frequencies.



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Details

DokumentenartArtikel
Titel eines Journals oder einer ZeitschriftCognition
Verlag:Elsevier
Band:84
Nummer des Zeitschriftenheftes oder des Kapitels:3
Seitenbereich:S. 343-352
DatumJuli 2002
InstitutionenMathematik > Prof. Dr. Stefan Krauss
Identifikationsnummer
WertTyp
10.1016/S0010-0277(02)00050-1DOI
WOS:000176306400005Web of Science
Stichwörter / KeywordsBayesian inference; Probability judgements; Representation of information; Natural frequencies
Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 510 Mathematik
StatusVeröffentlicht
BegutachtetUnbekannt / Keine Angabe
An der Universität Regensburg entstandenUnbekannt / Keine Angabe
URN der UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-343152
Dokumenten-ID34315

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