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Real Options Effect of Uncertainty and Labor Demand Shocks on the Housing Market
Lee, Gabriel, Nguyen Thanh, Binh and Strobel, Johannes (2016) Real Options Effect of Uncertainty and Labor Demand Shocks on the Housing Market. Working Paper.Date of publication of this fulltext: 16 Feb 2017 07:16
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.35233
Abstract
This paper shows that uncertainty affects the housing market in two significant ways. First, uncertainty shocks adversely affect housing prices but not the quantities that are traded. Controlling for a broad set of variables in fixed-effects regressions, we find that uncertainty shocks reduce housing prices and median sales prices in the amount of 1.4% and 1.8%, respectively, but the effect is ...
This paper shows that uncertainty affects the housing market in two significant ways. First, uncertainty
shocks adversely affect housing prices but not the quantities that are traded. Controlling for a broad set
of variables in fixed-effects regressions, we find that uncertainty shocks reduce housing prices and median
sales prices in the amount of 1.4% and 1.8%, respectively, but the effect is not statistically significant
for the percentage changes of all homes sold. Second, when both uncertainty and local demand shocks
are introduced, the effects of uncertainty on the housing market dominate that of local labor demand
shocks on housing prices, median sell prices, the share of houses selling for loss, and transactions. The
aforementioned effects are largest for the states that exhibit relatively high housing price volatilities,
suggesting real options effects in the housing market during the times of high uncertainty.
Involved Institutions
Details
| Item type | Monograph (Working Paper) |
| Date | 16 December 2016 |
| Institutions | Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienökonomie (Prof. Dr. Gabriel Lee) Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Immobilienenwirtschaft / IRE|BS > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienökonomie (Prof. Dr. Gabriel Lee) |
| Keywords | Bartik labor demand shocks; time-varying uncertainty shocks; real options effects; housing market |
| Dewey Decimal Classification | 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics |
| Status | Unknown |
| Refereed | Unknown |
| Created at the University of Regensburg | Yes |
| URN of the UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-352332 |
| Item ID | 35233 |
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