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Lee, Gabriel ; Nguyen Thanh, Binh ; Strobel, Johannes

Real Options Effect of Uncertainty and Labor Demand Shocks on the Housing Market

Lee, Gabriel, Nguyen Thanh, Binh und Strobel, Johannes (2016) Real Options Effect of Uncertainty and Labor Demand Shocks on the Housing Market. Working Paper.

Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 16 Feb 2017 07:16
Monographie
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.35233


Zusammenfassung

This paper shows that uncertainty affects the housing market in two significant ways. First, uncertainty shocks adversely affect housing prices but not the quantities that are traded. Controlling for a broad set of variables in fixed-effects regressions, we find that uncertainty shocks reduce housing prices and median sales prices in the amount of 1.4% and 1.8%, respectively, but the effect is ...

This paper shows that uncertainty affects the housing market in two significant ways. First, uncertainty
shocks adversely affect housing prices but not the quantities that are traded. Controlling for a broad set
of variables in fixed-effects regressions, we find that uncertainty shocks reduce housing prices and median
sales prices in the amount of 1.4% and 1.8%, respectively, but the effect is not statistically significant
for the percentage changes of all homes sold. Second, when both uncertainty and local demand shocks
are introduced, the effects of uncertainty on the housing market dominate that of local labor demand
shocks on housing prices, median sell prices, the share of houses selling for loss, and transactions. The
aforementioned effects are largest for the states that exhibit relatively high housing price volatilities,
suggesting real options effects in the housing market during the times of high uncertainty.


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Details

DokumentenartMonographie (Working Paper)
Datum16 Dezember 2016
InstitutionenWirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienökonomie (Prof. Dr. Gabriel Lee)
Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Immobilienenwirtschaft / IRE|BS > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienökonomie (Prof. Dr. Gabriel Lee)
Stichwörter / KeywordsBartik labor demand shocks; time-varying uncertainty shocks; real options effects; housing market
Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft
StatusUnbekannt / Keine Angabe
BegutachtetUnbekannt / Keine Angabe
An der Universität Regensburg entstandenJa
URN der UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-352332
Dokumenten-ID35233

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