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Moser, Johannes

Hypothetical thinking and the winner's curse: An experimental investigation

Moser, Johannes (2017) Hypothetical thinking and the winner's curse: An experimental investigation. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft, Working Paper, Regensburg.

Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 10 Nov 2017 09:45
Monographie
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.36304


Zusammenfassung

There is evidence that bidders fall prey to the winner's curse because they fail to extract information from hypothetical events - like winning an auction. This paper investigates experimentally whether bidders in a common value auction perform better when the requirements for this cognitive issue - also denoted by contingent reasoning - are relaxed, leaving all other parameters unchanged. The ...

There is evidence that bidders fall prey to the winner's curse because they fail to extract information from hypothetical events - like winning an auction. This paper investigates experimentally whether bidders in a common value auction perform better when the requirements for this cognitive issue - also denoted by contingent reasoning - are relaxed, leaving all other parameters unchanged. The overall pattern of the data suggests that the problem of irrational over- and underbidding can be weakened by giving the subjects ex ante feedback about their bid, but unlike related studies I also find negative effects of additional information.



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Details

DokumentenartMonographie (Working Paper)
Ort der Veröffentlichung:Regensburg
Schriftenreihe der Universität Regensburg:Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft
Seitenanzahl:40
Datum3 November 2017
InstitutionenWirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Mikroökonomik (Prof. Dr. Andreas Roider)
Identifikationsnummer
WertTyp
10.2139/ssrn.2955871DOI
Klassifikation
NotationArt
D03Journal of Economics Literature Classification
D44Journal of Economics Literature Classification
D82Journal of Economics Literature Classification
D83Journal of Economics Literature Classification
C91Journal of Economics Literature Classification
Stichwörter / KeywordsHypothetical thinking, cursed equilibrium, winner's curse
Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft
StatusVeröffentlicht
BegutachtetJa, diese Version wurde begutachtet
An der Universität Regensburg entstandenJa
URN der UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-363045
Dokumenten-ID36304

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