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Moser, Johannes

Hypothetical thinking and the winner's curse: An experimental investigation

Monographie

Moser, Johannes (2017) Hypothetical thinking and the winner's curse: An experimental investigation. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft, Working Paper, Regensburg.

DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.36304


Zusammenfassung

There is evidence that bidders fall prey to the winner's curse because they fail to extract information from hypothetical events - like winning an auction. This paper investigates experimentally whether bidders in a common value auction perform better when the requirements for this cognitive issue - also denoted by contingent reasoning - are relaxed, leaving all other parameters unchanged. The ...

There is evidence that bidders fall prey to the winner's curse because they fail to extract information from hypothetical events - like winning an auction. This paper investigates experimentally whether bidders in a common value auction perform better when the requirements for this cognitive issue - also denoted by contingent reasoning - are relaxed, leaving all other parameters unchanged. The overall pattern of the data suggests that the problem of irrational over- and underbidding can be weakened by giving the subjects ex ante feedback about their bid, but unlike related studies I also find negative effects of additional information.



Beteiligte Einrichtungen


Details

DokumentenartMonographie (Working Paper)
Ort der VeröffentlichungRegensburg
Schriftenreihe der Universität RegensburgRegensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft
Seitenanzahl40
Datum3 November 2017
Veröffentlichungsdatum10 Nov 2017 09:45
InstitutionenWirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Mikroökonomik (Prof. Dr. Andreas Roider)
Identifikationsnummer
WertTyp
10.2139/ssrn.2955871DOI
Klassifikation
NotationArt
D03Journal of Economics Literature Classification
D44Journal of Economics Literature Classification
D82Journal of Economics Literature Classification
D83Journal of Economics Literature Classification
C91Journal of Economics Literature Classification
Stichwörter / KeywordsHypothetical thinking, cursed equilibrium, winner's curse
Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft
StatusVeröffentlicht
BegutachtetJa, diese Version wurde begutachtet
An der Universität Regensburg entstandenJa
URN der UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-363045
Dokumenten-ID36304

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