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Moser, Johannes

Hypothetical thinking and the winner's curse: An experimental investigation

Moser, Johannes (2017) Hypothetical thinking and the winner's curse: An experimental investigation. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft, Working Paper, Regensburg.

Date of publication of this fulltext: 10 Nov 2017 09:45
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.36304


Abstract

There is evidence that bidders fall prey to the winner's curse because they fail to extract information from hypothetical events - like winning an auction. This paper investigates experimentally whether bidders in a common value auction perform better when the requirements for this cognitive issue - also denoted by contingent reasoning - are relaxed, leaving all other parameters unchanged. The ...

There is evidence that bidders fall prey to the winner's curse because they fail to extract information from hypothetical events - like winning an auction. This paper investigates experimentally whether bidders in a common value auction perform better when the requirements for this cognitive issue - also denoted by contingent reasoning - are relaxed, leaving all other parameters unchanged. The overall pattern of the data suggests that the problem of irrational over- and underbidding can be weakened by giving the subjects ex ante feedback about their bid, but unlike related studies I also find negative effects of additional information.



Involved Institutions


Details

Item typeMonograph (Working Paper)
Place of Publication:Regensburg
Series of the University of Regensburg:Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft
Number of Pages:40
Date3 November 2017
InstitutionsBusiness, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Mikroökonomik (Prof. Dr. Andreas Roider)
Identification Number
ValueType
10.2139/ssrn.2955871DOI
Classification
NotationType
D03Journal of Economics Literature Classification
D44Journal of Economics Literature Classification
D82Journal of Economics Literature Classification
D83Journal of Economics Literature Classification
C91Journal of Economics Literature Classification
KeywordsHypothetical thinking, cursed equilibrium, winner's curse
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
StatusPublished
RefereedYes, this version has been refereed
Created at the University of RegensburgYes
URN of the UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-363045
Item ID36304

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