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Hypothetical thinking and the winner's curse: An experimental investigation
Moser, Johannes (2017) Hypothetical thinking and the winner's curse: An experimental investigation. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft, Working Paper, Regensburg.Date of publication of this fulltext: 10 Nov 2017 09:45
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.36304
Abstract
There is evidence that bidders fall prey to the winner's curse because they fail to extract information from hypothetical events - like winning an auction. This paper investigates experimentally whether bidders in a common value auction perform better when the requirements for this cognitive issue - also denoted by contingent reasoning - are relaxed, leaving all other parameters unchanged. The ...
There is evidence that bidders fall prey to the winner's curse because they fail to extract information from hypothetical events - like winning an auction. This paper investigates experimentally whether bidders in a common value auction perform better when the requirements for this cognitive issue - also denoted by contingent reasoning - are relaxed, leaving all other parameters unchanged. The overall pattern of the data suggests that the problem of irrational over- and underbidding can be weakened by giving the subjects ex ante feedback about their bid, but unlike related studies I also find negative effects of additional information.
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Details
| Item type | Monograph (Working Paper) | ||||||||||||
| Place of Publication: | Regensburg | ||||||||||||
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| Series of the University of Regensburg: | Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft | ||||||||||||
| Number of Pages: | 40 | ||||||||||||
| Date | 3 November 2017 | ||||||||||||
| Institutions | Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Mikroökonomik (Prof. Dr. Andreas Roider) | ||||||||||||
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| Keywords | Hypothetical thinking, cursed equilibrium, winner's curse | ||||||||||||
| Dewey Decimal Classification | 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics | ||||||||||||
| Status | Published | ||||||||||||
| Refereed | Yes, this version has been refereed | ||||||||||||
| Created at the University of Regensburg | Yes | ||||||||||||
| URN of the UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-363045 | ||||||||||||
| Item ID | 36304 |
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