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Dorfleitner, Gregor ; Grebler, Johannes ; Utz, Sebastian

The Impact of Corporate Social and Environmental Performance on Credit Rating Prediction: North America versus Europe

Dorfleitner, Gregor , Grebler, Johannes and Utz, Sebastian (2020) The Impact of Corporate Social and Environmental Performance on Credit Rating Prediction: North America versus Europe. Journal of Risk 22 (6), pp. 1-33.

Date of publication of this fulltext: 19 Feb 2020 10:34
Article
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.41644


Abstract

We quantify the extent to which the quality of credit rating predictions improves by integrating measures of corporate social performance (CSP) in an established credit risk model. Our analysis provides comprehensive evidence of the comparative informational advantage of considering CSP in predicting credit ratings of North American and European firms. In the North American sample, both ...

We quantify the extent to which the quality of credit rating predictions improves by integrating measures of corporate social performance (CSP) in an established credit risk model. Our analysis provides comprehensive evidence of the comparative informational advantage of considering CSP in predicting credit ratings of North American and European firms. In the North American sample, both environmental and social performance have an explanatory impact. The out-of-sample prediction quality improves by more than 0.8%. By contrast, only social performance increases the explanatory power in the European sample; environmental performance does not. Overall, we show that CSP is a relevant variable for predicting credit ratings. In general, our findings support the risk mitigation view of CSP, indicating that firms with high CSP are less risky and thus have better credit ratings. However, the quality of the relationship depends on the socioeconomic and cultural environment as well, as can be seen from the differing results in North America and Europe.



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Details

Item typeArticle
Journal or Publication TitleJournal of Risk
Publisher:INCISIVE MEDIA
Place of Publication:LONDON
Volume:22
Number of Issue or Book Chapter:6
Page Range:pp. 1-33
Date2020
InstitutionsBusiness, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre
Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre > Lehrstuhl für Finanzierung (Prof. Dr. Gregor Dorfleitner)
Identification Number
ValueType
10.21314/JOR.2020.437DOI
KeywordsINTERACTION TERMS; BOND RATINGS; RESPONSIBILITY; RISK; DEBT; COST; POLICY; LEVEL; MATTER; CYCLE; credit risk; credit rating prediction; corporate social performance; risk mitigation
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
StatusPublished
RefereedYes, this version has been refereed
Created at the University of RegensburgYes
URN of the UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-416446
Item ID41644

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