Go to content
UR Home

Labour market forecasting in Germany: is disaggregation useful?

Weber, Enzo ; Zika, Gerd


This paper examines whether labour market forecasts can be improved by using disaggregated information. We construct vector-autoregressive models for employment by sector in order to produce out-of-sample forecasts of aggregate employment. Forecast accuracy is compared to univariate models by using Clark/West tests. In an application to German data, it is evident that disaggregation significantly ...


Owner only: item control page
  1. Homepage UR

University Library

Publication Server


Publishing: oa@ur.de

Dissertations: dissertationen@ur.de

Research data: daten@ur.de

Contact persons