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Beracha, Eli ; Lang, Marcel ; Hausler, Jochen

On the Relationship between Market Sentiment and Commercial Real Estate Performance - A Textual Analysis Examination

Beracha, Eli, Lang, Marcel and Hausler, Jochen (2019) On the Relationship between Market Sentiment and Commercial Real Estate Performance - A Textual Analysis Examination. Journal of Real Estate Research 41 (4), pp. 605-637.

Date of publication of this fulltext: 24 Mar 2021 10:42
Article
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.45317


Abstract

We examine whether and the extent to which news-based sentiment, captured by textual analysis, can predict the performance of the private commercial real estate market in the United States. Our results show that sentiment reflected in news abstracts of The Wall Street Journal predicts returns of commercial real estate up to four quarters in advance. These findings are statistically significant ...

We examine whether and the extent to which news-based sentiment, captured by textual analysis, can predict the performance of the private commercial real estate market in the United States. Our results show that sentiment reflected in news abstracts of The Wall Street Journal predicts returns of commercial real estate up to four quarters in advance. These findings are statistically significant and persist even when controlling for other related factors. This suggests that news-based sentiment can serve as an early market indicator. We are the first to examine the bidirectional relationship between sentiment, measured by textual analysis, and the performance of the private U.S. commercial real estate market. The findings contribute to the academic literature, and carry practical implications for real estate professionals.



Involved Institutions


Details

Item typeArticle
Journal or Publication TitleJournal of Real Estate Research
Publisher:Taylor & Francis
Volume:41
Number of Issue or Book Chapter:4
Page Range:pp. 605-637
Date2019
InstitutionsBusiness, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Immobilienenwirtschaft / IRE|BS > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienmanagement (Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Schäfers)
Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Immobilienenwirtschaft / IRE|BS
Identification Number
ValueType
10.22300/0896-5803.41.4.605DOI
Keywordssentiment, textual analysis, news analytics, forecasting, commercial real estate
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
StatusPublished
RefereedYes, this version has been refereed
Created at the University of RegensburgPartially
Item ID45317

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