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Bayesian calibration of a growth‐dependent tree mortality model to simulate the dynamics of European temperate forests

Cailleret, Maxime ; Bircher, Nicolas ; Hartig, Florian ; Hülsmann, Lisa ; Bugmann, Harald



Abstract

Dynamic vegetation models (DVMs) are important tools to understand and predict the functioning and dynamics of terrestrial ecosystems under changing environmental conditions. In these models, uncertainty in the description of demographic processes, in particular tree mortality, is a persistent problem. Current mortality formulations lack realism and are insufficiently constrained by empirical ...

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