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Nowcasting Real GDP Growth: Comparison between Old and New EU Countries

Kočenda, Evžen ; Poghosyan, Karen



Abstract

We analyze the performance of a broad range of nowcasting and short-term forecasting models for a representative set of twelve old and six new member countries of the European Union (EU) that are characterized by substantial differences in aggregate output variability. In our analysis, we generate ex-post out-of-sample nowcasts and forecasts based on hard and soft indicators that come from a ...

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