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Micromotives of Vote Switchers and Macrotransitions: The Case of the Immigration Issue in a Regional Earthquake Election in Germany 2018

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Thurner, Paul W. ; Klima, André ; Küchenhoff, Helmut ; Mauerer, Ingrid ; Mang, Stefan ; Walter-Rogg, Melanie ; Heinrich, Tassilo ; Knieper, Thomas ; Schnurbus, Joachim
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Date of publication of this fulltext: 29 Feb 2024 12:56


Which issue-related motives underlie voters' decision to switch parties at the polls? Do switchers stick to the newly chosen party, or do they oscillate in a short-term way at intermediate elections? Relying on the behavioral theory of elections, we assumed aspiration-based voting of boundedly rational voters. We elicited issue-related switch and stay motives in an open-ended survey question ...


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