Micromotives of Vote Switchers and Macrotransitions: The Case of the Immigration Issue in a Regional Earthquake Election in Germany 2018

URN to cite this document:: urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-574822
DOI to cite this document:: 10.5283/epub.57482

Thurner, Paul W. ; Klima, André ; Küchenhoff, Helmut ; Mauerer, Ingrid

; Mang, Stefan ; Walter-Rogg, Melanie ; Heinrich, Tassilo

; Knieper, Thomas ; Schnurbus, Joachim

License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
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Date of publication of this fulltext: 29 Feb 2024 12:56

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Abstract

Which issue-related motives underlie voters' decision to switch parties at the polls? Do switchers stick to the newly chosen party, or do they oscillate in a short-term way at intermediate elections? Relying on the behavioral theory of elections, we assumed aspiration-based voting of boundedly rational voters. We elicited issue-related switch and stay motives in an open-ended survey question ...