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Just, Tobias ; Salzberger, Hannah

Structural and Cyclical Risks in Housing Markets in OECD Countries

Just, Tobias und Salzberger, Hannah (2024) Structural and Cyclical Risks in Housing Markets in OECD Countries. Intereconomics 59 (3), S. 167-175.

Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 04 Jun 2024 14:25
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.58375


Zusammenfassung

This paper analyses the housing markets of OECD countries using a scoring model. This model is based on a European Systematic Risk Board approach to risk assessment of housing markets but extends this approach in two important ways. First, this paper distinguishes between cyclical and structural risk factors. Markets facing higher susceptibility to cyclical risks necessitate a distinct policy ...

This paper analyses the housing markets of OECD countries using a scoring model. This model is based on a European Systematic Risk Board approach to risk assessment of housing markets but extends this approach in two important ways. First, this paper distinguishes between cyclical and structural risk factors. Markets facing higher susceptibility to cyclical risks necessitate a distinct policy approach to prevent or handle disruptions, as opposed to markets primarily affected by structural risks. Second, it illustrates that scoring models contain subjective aspects, e.g. in the choice of weighting factors. We develop four distinct models to weigh risk factors. We show that these different weighing schemes have a significant impact on the estimated risk scores. For policy decisions, such models can therefore only be an indication of the vulnerability of housing markets to crises. Therefore, several scenarios and models should be calculated in parallel to reduce subjectivity.



Beteiligte Einrichtungen


Details

DokumentenartArtikel
Titel eines Journals oder einer ZeitschriftIntereconomics
Verlag:ZBW, Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Band:59
Nummer des Zeitschriftenheftes oder des Kapitels:3
Seitenbereich:S. 167-175
Datum2024
InstitutionenWirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Immobilienenwirtschaft / IRE|BS > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienwirtschaft (Prof. Dr. Tobias Just)
Identifikationsnummer
WertTyp
10.2478/ie-2024-0034DOI
Klassifikation
NotationArt
R31, E30Journal of Economics Literature Classification
Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft
StatusVeröffentlicht
BegutachtetJa, diese Version wurde begutachtet
An der Universität Regensburg entstandenJa
URN der UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-583758
Dokumenten-ID58375

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