Direkt zum Inhalt

Owner only: item control page
Fehrle, Daniel ; Heiberger, Christopher ; Huber, Johannes

Polynomial Chaos Expansion: Efficient Evaluation and Estimation of Computational Models

Fehrle, Daniel, Heiberger, Christopher and Huber, Johannes (2025) Polynomial Chaos Expansion: Efficient Evaluation and Estimation of Computational Models. Computational Economics.

Date of publication of this fulltext: 27 Jan 2025 05:47
Article
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.74757


Abstract

We apply Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) to surrogate time-consuming repeated model evaluations for different parameter values. PCE represents a random variable, the quantity of interest (QoI), as a series expansion of other random variables, the inputs. Repeated evaluations become inexpensive by treating uncertain parameters of a model as inputs, and an element of a model’s solution, e.g., the ...

We apply Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) to surrogate time-consuming repeated model evaluations for different parameter values. PCE represents a random variable, the quantity of interest (QoI), as a series expansion of other random variables, the inputs. Repeated evaluations become inexpensive by treating uncertain parameters of a model as inputs, and an element of a model’s solution, e.g., the policy function, second moments, or the posterior kernel as the QoI. We introduce the theory of PCE and apply it to the standard real business cycle model as an illustrative example. We analyze the convergence behavior of PCE for different QoIs and its efficiency when used for estimation. The results are promising both for local and global solution methods.



Involved Institutions


Details

Item typeArticle
Journal or Publication TitleComputational Economics
Publisher:Springer Nature Link
Open Access Type:DEAL (Springer)
Date23 January 2025
InstitutionsBusiness, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie
Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Theoretische Volkswirtschaft (Prof. Dr. Lutz Arnold)
Identification Number
ValueType
10.1007/s10614-024-10772-5DOI
KeywordsPolynomial chaos expansion · Parameter inference · Parameter uncertainty · Solution methods
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
StatusPublished
RefereedYes, this version has been refereed
Created at the University of RegensburgPartially
URN of the UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-747570
Item ID74757

Export bibliographical data

Owner only: item control page

nach oben