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Polynomial Chaos Expansion: Efficient Evaluation and Estimation of Computational Models
Fehrle, Daniel, Heiberger, Christopher und Huber, Johannes
(2025)
Polynomial Chaos Expansion: Efficient Evaluation and Estimation of Computational Models.
Computational Economics.
Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 27 Jan 2025 05:47
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.74757
Zusammenfassung
We apply Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) to surrogate time-consuming repeated model evaluations for different parameter values. PCE represents a random variable, the quantity of interest (QoI), as a series expansion of other random variables, the inputs. Repeated evaluations become inexpensive by treating uncertain parameters of a model as inputs, and an element of a model’s solution, e.g., the ...
We apply Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) to surrogate time-consuming repeated model evaluations for different parameter values. PCE represents a random variable, the quantity of interest (QoI), as a series expansion of other random variables, the inputs. Repeated evaluations become inexpensive by treating uncertain parameters of a model as inputs, and an element of a model’s solution, e.g., the policy function, second moments, or the posterior kernel as the QoI. We introduce the theory of PCE and apply it to the standard real business cycle model as an illustrative example. We analyze the convergence behavior of PCE for different QoIs and its efficiency when used for estimation. The results are promising both for local and global solution methods.
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| Dokumentenart | Artikel | ||||
| Titel eines Journals oder einer Zeitschrift | Computational Economics | ||||
| Verlag: | Springer Nature Link | ||||
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| Datum | 23 Januar 2025 | ||||
| Institutionen | Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Theoretische Volkswirtschaft (Prof. Dr. Lutz Arnold) | ||||
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| Stichwörter / Keywords | Polynomial chaos expansion · Parameter inference · Parameter uncertainty · Solution methods | ||||
| Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation | 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft | ||||
| Status | Veröffentlicht | ||||
| Begutachtet | Ja, diese Version wurde begutachtet | ||||
| An der Universität Regensburg entstanden | Zum Teil | ||||
| URN der UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-747570 | ||||
| Dokumenten-ID | 74757 |
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