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Bayesian Sample Size Determination Using Commensurate Priors to Leverage Preexperimental Data
Zheng, Haiyan, Jaki, Thomas
und Wason, James M.S.
(2022)
Bayesian Sample Size Determination Using Commensurate Priors to Leverage Preexperimental Data.
Biometrics 79 (2), S. 669-683.
Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 29 Sep 2025 06:35
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.77847
Zusammenfassung
This paper develops Bayesian sample size formulae for experiments comparing two groups, where relevant preexperimental information from multiple sources can be incorporated in a robust prior to support both the design and analysis. We use commensurate predictive priors for borrowing of information and further place Gamma mixture priors on the precisions to account for preliminary belief about the ...
This paper develops Bayesian sample size formulae for experiments comparing two groups, where relevant preexperimental information from multiple sources can be incorporated in a robust prior to support both the design and analysis. We use commensurate predictive priors for borrowing of information and further place Gamma mixture priors on the precisions to account for preliminary belief about the pairwise (in)commensurability between parameters that underpin the historical and new experiments. Averaged over the probability space of the new experimental data, appropriate sample sizes are found according to criteria that control certain aspects of the posterior distribution, such as the coverage probability or length of a defined density region. Our Bayesian methodology can be applied to circumstances that compare two normal means, proportions, or event times. When nuisance parameters (such as variance) in the new experiment are unknown, a prior distribution can further be specified based on preexperimental data. Exact solutions are available based on most of the criteria considered for Bayesian sample size determination, while a search procedure is described in cases for which there are no closed-form expressions. We illustrate the application of our sample size formulae in the design of clinical trials, where pretrial information is available to be leveraged. Hypothetical data examples, motivated by a rare-disease trial with an elicited expert prior opinion, and a comprehensive performance evaluation of the proposed methodology are presented.
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Details
| Dokumentenart | Artikel | ||||
| Titel eines Journals oder einer Zeitschrift | Biometrics | ||||
| Verlag: | Oxford Academic, Oxford University Press | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Band: | 79 | ||||
| Nummer des Zeitschriftenheftes oder des Kapitels: | 2 | ||||
| Seitenbereich: | S. 669-683 | ||||
| Datum | 6 März 2022 | ||||
| Institutionen | Informatik und Data Science > Fachbereich Maschinelles Lernen und Data Science > Chair for Computational Statistics (Prof. Dr. Thomas Jaki) | ||||
| Identifikationsnummer |
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| Stichwörter / Keywords | Bayesian experimental designs, historical data, rare-disease trials, robustness, sample size | ||||
| Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation | 000 Informatik, Informationswissenschaft, allgemeine Werke > 004 Informatik | ||||
| Status | Veröffentlicht | ||||
| Begutachtet | Ja, diese Version wurde begutachtet | ||||
| An der Universität Regensburg entstanden | Zum Teil | ||||
| URN der UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-778478 | ||||
| Dokumenten-ID | 77847 |
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