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Kreuzer, Christian ; Sparrer, Christian ; Dorfleitner, Gregor

Beyond pure hype: News sentiment and its role in the BTC and ETH futures market

Kreuzer, Christian , Sparrer, Christian and Dorfleitner, Gregor (2026) Beyond pure hype: News sentiment and its role in the BTC and ETH futures market. Review of Derivatives Research.

Date of publication of this fulltext: 29 Oct 2025 05:44
Article
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.78030


Abstract

Unlike traditional assets, cryptocurrencies lack fundamental information such as dividends, earnings, or cash flows, requiring market participants to rely on alternative sources of information for price discovery and trading decisions. In this study, we analyze the relationship between news sentiment and Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) futures returns, as well as net trading positions. We use a ...

Unlike traditional assets, cryptocurrencies lack fundamental information such as dividends, earnings, or cash flows, requiring market participants to rely on alternative sources of information for price discovery and trading decisions. In this study, we analyze the relationship between news sentiment and Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) futures returns, as well as net trading positions. We use a dataset of over 9100 BTC and 5400 ETH news articles. The findings reveal that news sentiment is significantly associated with futures price movements and market positioning by professional investors. We extend the traditional dictionary-based approach of Loughran and McDonald (2011) by enabling a more precise identification of crypto-relevant content. Our findings highlight the role of news sentiment as an information channel in cryptocurrency derivatives markets and uncover substantial differences between the BTC and ETH futures markets.


Involved Institutions


Details

Item typeArticle
Journal or Publication TitleReview of Derivatives Research
Publisher:Springer
Open Access Type:DEAL (Springer)
Date3 January 2026
InstitutionsBusiness, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre
Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre > Lehrstuhl für Finanzierung (Prof. Dr. Gregor Dorfleitner)
KeywordsCryptocurrency futures · Bitcoin (BTC) · Ether (ETH) · News sentiment analysis · Financial news media
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
StatusPublished
RefereedYes, this version has been refereed
Created at the University of RegensburgYes
URN of the UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-780300
Item ID78030

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