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Range, Julius Leonhard ; Grafe, Albert Erasmus

Building homes for tax revenues? Spatial evidence on the fiscal effects of residential land development

Range, Julius Leonhard und Grafe, Albert Erasmus (2026) Building homes for tax revenues? Spatial evidence on the fiscal effects of residential land development. Land Use Policy 170, S. 108220.

Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 16 Jul 2026 04:15
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.79795


Zusammenfassung

This study quantifies the tax revenue effects of residential land development in Germany. Whereas existing research and policy debates have concentrated on the fiscal returns of commercial land expansion, the tax revenue effects of residential development remain largely unexplored. We estimate the impacts of increases in living space and settlement area on municipal tax revenues using spatial ...

This study quantifies the tax revenue effects of residential land development in Germany. Whereas existing research and policy debates have concentrated on the fiscal returns of commercial land expansion, the tax revenue effects of residential development remain largely unexplored. We estimate the impacts of increases in living space and settlement area on municipal tax revenues using spatial instrumental variable regressions and a nationwide cross-sectional dataset covering all German municipalities. Accounting for spatial spillovers and potential endogeneity, we document a significant positive effect of residential living space expansion on municipal income tax revenues, with substantial heterogeneity between urban and rural municipalities and across regions with differing economic performance. A corresponding analysis of broader settlement area expansion indicates similarly positive effects on total municipal tax revenues. Multiple robustness checks support the validity of these findings. Finally, we outline a simple framework for approximating the fiscal payback period of residential land development by relating estimated revenue effects to average municipal development costs.



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Details

DokumentenartArtikel
Titel eines Journals oder einer ZeitschriftLand Use Policy
Verlag:Elsevier
Open Access Art:DEAL (Elsevier)
Band:170
Seitenbereich:S. 108220
Datum10 Juli 2026
InstitutionenWirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Immobilienenwirtschaft / IRE|BS
Identifikationsnummer
WertTyp
10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.108220DOI
Stichwörter / KeywordsTax revenues, Land consumption, Spatial regression, Instrumental variable regression
Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft
StatusVeröffentlicht
BegutachtetJa, diese Version wurde begutachtet
An der Universität Regensburg entstandenJa
URN der UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-797954
Dokumenten-ID79795

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