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A Simultaneous Unobserved Components Analysis of US Output and the Great Moderation
Weber, Enzo (2009) A Simultaneous Unobserved Components Analysis of US Output and the Great Moderation. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft 432, Working Paper, Regensburg.Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 05 Aug 2009 14:00
Monographie
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.8613
Zusammenfassung
In an unobserved components framework of US output trend and cycle, this paper seeks to determine the causal interaction between permanent and transitory innovations. For the purpose of identification, strategies of augmenting the cyclical dynamics as well as allowing for shifts in volatility are proposed. In the early 1980s, substantial predominance of cycle shocks gives way to strong negative ...
In an unobserved components framework of US output trend and cycle, this paper seeks to determine the causal interaction between permanent and transitory innovations. For the purpose of identification, strategies of augmenting the cyclical dynamics as well as allowing for shifts in volatility are proposed. In the early 1980s, substantial predominance of cycle shocks gives way to strong negative spillovers of trend impulses, consistent with real business cycle theories. The coincident reduction of macroeconomic volatility mainly traces back to pronounced dampening of transitory disturbances. This ascribes an important role to the mitigation of policy interventions in explaining the Great Moderation.
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Details
| Dokumentenart | Monographie (Working Paper) | ||||||
| Ort der Veröffentlichung: | Regensburg | ||||||
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| Schriftenreihe der Universität Regensburg: | Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft | ||||||
| Band: | 432 | ||||||
| Seitenanzahl: | 17 | ||||||
| Datum | 10 Juli 2009 | ||||||
| Institutionen | Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie | ||||||
| Themenverbund | Nicht ausgewählt | ||||||
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| Klassifikation |
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| Stichwörter / Keywords | Unobserved Components, Trend, Cycle, Identification, Great Moderation | ||||||
| Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation | 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft | ||||||
| Status | Veröffentlicht | ||||||
| Begutachtet | Nie, das Dokument wird nicht wissenschaftlich begutachtet werden | ||||||
| An der Universität Regensburg entstanden | Ja | ||||||
| URN der UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-86130 | ||||||
| Dokumenten-ID | 8613 |
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