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Intricacy of cryptocurrency returns
Nagl, Maximilian
(2024)
Intricacy of cryptocurrency returns.
Economics Letters 239, S. 111746.
Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 28 Mai 2024 07:44
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.58318
Zusammenfassung
This paper quantifies the intricacy, i.e., non-linearity and interactions of predictor variables, in explaining cryptocurrency returns. Using data from several thousand cryptocurrencies spanning 2014 to 2022, we observe a notably high level of intricacy. This provides a quantitative measure why linear models are often outperformed by machine learning algorithms in predicting cryptocurrency ...
This paper quantifies the intricacy, i.e., non-linearity and interactions of predictor variables, in explaining cryptocurrency returns. Using data from several thousand cryptocurrencies spanning 2014 to 2022, we observe a notably high level of intricacy. This provides a quantitative measure why linear models are often outperformed by machine learning algorithms in predicting cryptocurrency returns. Furthermore, we document that the intricacy in these predictions is considerably larger compared to stocks. Our analysis reveals that interactions are gaining importance over time, while individual non-linearity of the drivers is diminishing. This adds to the emerging literature on spillover effects between cryptocurrencies, traditional finance and the economy. This finding is important for investors as well as regulators as the high intricacy proposes challenges to both actors in the market.
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| Dokumentenart | Artikel | ||||
| Titel eines Journals oder einer Zeitschrift | Economics Letters | ||||
| Verlag: | Elsevier | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Band: | 239 | ||||
| Seitenbereich: | S. 111746 | ||||
| Datum | 7 Mai 2024 | ||||
| Institutionen | Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre > Lehrstuhl für Statistik und Risikomanagement (Prof. Dr. Rösch) | ||||
| Identifikationsnummer |
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| Stichwörter / Keywords | Cryptocurrency returns, Machine learning, Explainable artificial intelligence, Intricacy | ||||
| Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation | 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 310 Statistik | ||||
| Status | Veröffentlicht | ||||
| Begutachtet | Ja, diese Version wurde begutachtet | ||||
| An der Universität Regensburg entstanden | Ja | ||||
| URN der UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-583186 | ||||
| Dokumenten-ID | 58318 |
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