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Vilsmeier, Johannes

Updating the Option Implied Probability of Default Methodology

Vilsmeier, Johannes (2011) Updating the Option Implied Probability of Default Methodology. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft 462, Working Paper.

Date of publication of this fulltext: 13 Oct 2011 07:32
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.22326


Abstract

In this paper we ‘update’ the option implied probability of default (option iPoD) approach recently suggested in the literature. First, a numerically more stable objective function for the estimation of the risk neutral density is derived whose integrals can be solved analytically. Second, it is reasoned that the originally proposed approach for the estimation of the PoD has some serious ...

In this paper we ‘update’ the option implied probability of default (option iPoD) approach
recently suggested in the literature. First, a numerically more stable objective function for
the estimation of the risk neutral density is derived whose integrals can be solved analytically.
Second, it is reasoned that the originally proposed approach for the estimation of the PoD
has some serious drawbacks and hence an alternative procedure is suggested that is based
on the Lagrange multipliers. Carrying out numerical evaluations and a practical application
we find that the framework provides very promising results.



Involved Institutions


Details

Item typeMonograph (Working Paper)
Series of the University of Regensburg:Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft
Volume:462
Date12 October 2011
InstitutionsBusiness, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Ökonometrie (Prof. Dr. Rolf Tschernig)
Identification Number
ValueType
RePEc:bay:rdwiwi:22326RePEc Handle
KeywordsOption Implied Probability of Default, Risk Neutral Density, Cross Entropy
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
StatusPublished
RefereedNo, this document will not be refereed
Created at the University of RegensburgYes
URN of the UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-223269
Item ID22326

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