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Updating the Option Implied Probability of Default Methodology
Vilsmeier, Johannes (2011) Updating the Option Implied Probability of Default Methodology. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft 462, Working Paper.Date of publication of this fulltext: 13 Oct 2011 07:32
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.22326
Abstract
In this paper we ‘update’ the option implied probability of default (option iPoD) approach recently suggested in the literature. First, a numerically more stable objective function for the estimation of the risk neutral density is derived whose integrals can be solved analytically. Second, it is reasoned that the originally proposed approach for the estimation of the PoD has some serious ...
In this paper we ‘update’ the option implied probability of default (option iPoD) approach
recently suggested in the literature. First, a numerically more stable objective function for
the estimation of the risk neutral density is derived whose integrals can be solved analytically.
Second, it is reasoned that the originally proposed approach for the estimation of the PoD
has some serious drawbacks and hence an alternative procedure is suggested that is based
on the Lagrange multipliers. Carrying out numerical evaluations and a practical application
we find that the framework provides very promising results.
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Details
| Item type | Monograph (Working Paper) | ||||
| Series of the University of Regensburg: | Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volume: | 462 | ||||
| Date | 12 October 2011 | ||||
| Institutions | Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Ökonometrie (Prof. Dr. Rolf Tschernig) | ||||
| Identification Number |
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| Keywords | Option Implied Probability of Default, Risk Neutral Density, Cross Entropy | ||||
| Dewey Decimal Classification | 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics | ||||
| Status | Published | ||||
| Refereed | No, this document will not be refereed | ||||
| Created at the University of Regensburg | Yes | ||||
| URN of the UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-223269 | ||||
| Item ID | 22326 |
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