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Capturing the Interaction of Trend, Cycle, Expectations and Risk Premia in the US Term Structure
Soloschenko, Max und Weber, Enzo (2014) Capturing the Interaction of Trend, Cycle, Expectations and Risk Premia in the US Term Structure. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft 475, Working Paper, Regensburg.Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 23 Apr 2014 08:32
Monographie
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.29825
Zusammenfassung
This paper deals with simultaneous interactions between the determinants of the US yield curve. For this purpose, we derive a multivariate unobserved components model based on the expectation hypothesis. The influencing factors of the term structure that arise from the structural model are a common stochastic trend, the cyclical part of the short rate and maturity-dependent term premiums in the ...
This paper deals with simultaneous interactions between the determinants of the US yield curve. For this purpose, we derive a multivariate unobserved components model based on the expectation hypothesis. The influencing factors of the term structure that arise from the structural model are a common stochastic trend, the cyclical part of the short rate and maturity-dependent term premiums in the longer rates. We establish a significant influence of both permanent and transitory innovations on the US term structure and find pronounced spillovers between the shocks of the term structure determinants. An interesting result depicts a key role of the spillovers of structural mid-term rate cycle shocks in the formation of the risk premiums.
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Details
| Dokumentenart | Monographie (Working Paper) | ||||||||||
| Ort der Veröffentlichung: | Regensburg | ||||||||||
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| Schriftenreihe der Universität Regensburg: | Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft | ||||||||||
| Band: | 475 | ||||||||||
| Datum | 22 April 2014 | ||||||||||
| Institutionen | Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie | ||||||||||
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| Stichwörter / Keywords | unobserved components, expectation hypothesis, cointegration, identification, risk premium | ||||||||||
| Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation | 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft | ||||||||||
| Status | Veröffentlicht | ||||||||||
| Begutachtet | Nie, das Dokument wird nicht wissenschaftlich begutachtet werden | ||||||||||
| An der Universität Regensburg entstanden | Ja | ||||||||||
| URN der UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-298256 | ||||||||||
| Dokumenten-ID | 29825 |
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