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Decision Support for IT Investment Projects
Müller, Marcel Philipp, Stöckl, Sebastian, Zimmermann, Steffen und Heinrich, Bernd (2016) Decision Support for IT Investment Projects. Business Information Systems Engeneering (BISE) / Wirtschaftsinformatik Vol. 58 (No. 6), S. 381-396.Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 08 Jun 2016 08:15
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.33853
Zusammenfassung
Managerial flexibilities have to be taken into account in ex-ante decision-making on IT investment projects (ITIPs). In many papers of the IS literature, standard financial option pricing models are used to value such managerial flexibilities. Based on a review of the related literature, the paper critically discusses the assumptions of the most frequently used financial option pricing model, ...
Managerial flexibilities have to be taken into account in ex-ante decision-making on IT investment projects (ITIPs). In many papers of the IS literature, standard financial option pricing models are used to value such managerial flexibilities. Based on a review of the related literature, the paper critically discusses the assumptions of the most frequently used financial option pricing model, namely the Black-Scholes model, arguing for relaxed assumptions that better represent the characteristics of ITIPs. The authors find that existing real option analysis approaches featured in the IS, Finance, and Economics literature are unable to consider more than two of our relaxed assumptions. Consequently, they present their own approach in form of a simulation model for the valuation of real options in ITIPs which offers a better representation of the characteristics of ITIPs by taking the discounted cash-flows and the runtime to be uncertain as well as the market to be incomplete. Based on these modifications of the Black-Scholes model's assumptions, it is found that the resulting option value contains idiosyncratic risk that has to be taken into account in ITIP decision making. For the realistic case of risk averse decision makers, the consideration of idiosyncratic risk usually leads to a lower risk-adjusted option value, compared to one calculated by means of the Black-Scholes model. This confirms the perception of managers who feel that financial option pricing models frequently overvalue ITIPs and hence may induce flawed investment decisions.
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Details
| Dokumentenart | Artikel | ||||
| Titel eines Journals oder einer Zeitschrift | Business Information Systems Engeneering (BISE) / Wirtschaftsinformatik | ||||
| Verlag: | SPRINGER HEIDELBERG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ort der Veröffentlichung: | HEIDELBERG | ||||
| Band: | Vol. 58 | ||||
| Nummer des Zeitschriftenheftes oder des Kapitels: | No. 6 | ||||
| Seitenbereich: | S. 381-396 | ||||
| Datum | März 2016 | ||||
| Institutionen | Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Wirtschaftsinformatik > Lehrstuhl für Wirtschaftsinformatik II (Prof. Dr. Bernd Heinrich) Informatik und Data Science > Fachbereich Wirtschaftsinformatik > Lehrstuhl für Wirtschaftsinformatik II (Prof. Dr. Bernd Heinrich) | ||||
| Identifikationsnummer |
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| Stichwörter / Keywords | INFORMATION-TECHNOLOGY INVESTMENTS; OPTION-PRICING THEORY; REAL OPTIONS; MEAN REVERSION; COMMODITY PRICES; DESIGN SCIENCE; BUSINESS VALUE; VALUATION; RISK; UNCERTAINTY; Real option analysis; Business value of IT investment projects; Simulation model; Black-Scholes model; IT investment project decisions; Assumptions; Characteristics of IT investment projects | ||||
| Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation | 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft 600 Technik, Medizin, angewandte Wissenschaften > 650 Management | ||||
| Status | Veröffentlicht | ||||
| Begutachtet | Ja, diese Version wurde begutachtet | ||||
| An der Universität Regensburg entstanden | Ja | ||||
| URN der UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-338535 | ||||
| Dokumenten-ID | 33853 |
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