Weber, Patrick, Binder, Karin 
and Krauss, Stefan
(2018)
Why can only 24% solve Bayesian reasoning problems in natural frequencies: Frequency phobia in spite of probability blindness.
[Dataset]
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Abstract
For more than 20 years, research has proven the beneficial effect of natural frequencies when it comes to solving Bayesian reasoning tasks (Gigerenzer & Hoffrage, 1995). In a recent meta-analysis, McDowell & Jacobs (2017) showed that presenting a task in natural frequency format increases performance rates to 24% compared to only 4% when the same task is presented in probability format. ...
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| Item type: | Dataset |
|---|---|
| Date: | 2018 |
| Institutions: | Mathematics > Prof. Dr. Stefan Krauss |
| Keywords: | Bayesian reasoning, natural frequencies, probabilities, Einstellung, tree diagram |
| Dewey Decimal Classification: | 500 Science > 510 Mathematics |
| Status: | In Press |
| Refereed: | Yes, this version has been refereed |
| Created at the University of Regensburg: | Yes |
| Item ID: | 37693 |
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