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Hartl, Tobias ; Weigand, Roland

Approximate State Space Modelling of Unobserved Fractional Components

Hartl, Tobias and Weigand, Roland (2019) Approximate State Space Modelling of Unobserved Fractional Components. Discussion Paper. (Submitted)

Date of publication of this fulltext: 08 Mar 2019 10:23
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.38416


Abstract

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation, maximum likelihood estimation can make use of the EM algorithm and related techniques. The approximation outperforms the frequently used autoregressive or moving ...

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation, maximum likelihood estimation can make use of the EM algorithm and related techniques. The approximation outperforms the frequently used autoregressive or moving average truncation, both in terms of computational costs and with respect to approximation quality. Monte Carlo simulations reveal good estimation properties of the proposed methods for processes of different complexity and dimension.



Involved Institutions


Details

Item typeMonograph (Discussion Paper)
DateFebruary 2019
InstitutionsBusiness, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie
Identification Number
ValueType
1812.09142arXiv ID
Classification
NotationType
C32Journal of Economics Literature Classification
C51Journal of Economics Literature Classification
C53Journal of Economics Literature Classification
C58Journal of Economics Literature Classification
KeywordsLong memory, fractional cointegration, state space, unobserved components.
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
StatusSubmitted
RefereedUnknown
Created at the University of RegensburgYes
URN of the UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-384165
Item ID38416

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