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Weber, Enzo

Financial Contagion, Vulnerability and Information Flow: Empirical Identification

Weber, Enzo (2009) Financial Contagion, Vulnerability and Information Flow: Empirical Identification. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft 431, Working Paper, Regensburg.

Date of publication of this fulltext: 05 Aug 2009 14:00
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.8573


Abstract

This paper proposes a new approach to modelling financial transmission effects. In simultaneous systems of stock returns, fundamental shocks are identified through heteroscedasticity. The size of contemporaneous spillovers is determined in the fashion of smooth transition regression by the innovations' variances and (negative) signs, both representing typical crisis-related magnitudes. Thereby, ...

This paper proposes a new approach to modelling financial transmission effects. In simultaneous systems of stock returns, fundamental shocks are identified through heteroscedasticity. The size of contemporaneous spillovers is determined in the fashion of smooth transition regression by the innovations' variances and (negative) signs, both representing typical crisis-related magnitudes. Thereby, contagion describes higher inward transmission in times of foreign crisis, whereas vulnerability is defined as increased susceptibility to foreign shocks in times of domestic turmoil. The application to major American stock indices confirms US dominance and demonstrates that volatility and sign of the equity returns significantly govern spillover size.



Involved Institutions


Details

Item typeMonograph (Working Paper)
Place of Publication:Regensburg
Series of the University of Regensburg:Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft
Volume:431
Number of Pages:20
Date10 July 2009
InstitutionsBusiness, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie
Interdisciplinary Subject NetworkImmobilien- und Kapitalmärkte
Identification Number
ValueType
RePEc:bay:rdwiwi:8573RePEc Handle
Classification
NotationType
C32Journal of Economics Literature Classification
G15Journal of Economics Literature Classification
KeywordsContagion, Vulnerability, Identification, Smooth Transition Regression
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
StatusPublished
RefereedNo, this document will not be refereed
Created at the University of RegensburgYes
URN of the UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-85730
Item ID8573

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