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Gruber, Johannes ; Lee, Gabriel

Bank lending effect on German commercial property prices

Gruber, Johannes and Lee, Gabriel (2008) Bank lending effect on German commercial property prices. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft 428, Working Paper, Regensburg.

Date of publication of this fulltext: 10 Jul 2008 06:34
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.9397


Abstract

This paper analyzes the effects of bank lending on German commercial property prices. The theory on the role of financial intermediaries in business cycle activity states that lending activity is characterized by asymmetric information between borrowers and lenders. As a consequence, interest rates may not move to clear lending markets (as in models with moral hazard and adverse selection ...

This paper analyzes the effects of bank lending on German commercial property prices. The theory on the role of financial intermediaries in business cycle activity states that lending activity is characterized by asymmetric information between borrowers and lenders. As a consequence, interest rates may not move to clear lending markets (as in models with moral hazard and adverse selection elements) or firms' net worth may play a critical role as collateral in influencing lending activity (as in models with agency costs). While the theory is concrete, the debate on the empirical support for these models continues. In this paper, our goal is to continue in exploring this debate by estimating a recursive VAR model using German (both aggregate and regional level) commercial property data from 1975 to 2004. Unlike other previous empirical results in commercial real estate literature, our main results show a weak negative correlation between growth in property prices and growth in credit, especially at the regional level.



Involved Institutions


Details

Item typeMonograph (Working Paper)
Place of Publication:Regensburg
Series of the University of Regensburg:Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft
Volume:428
Number of Pages:20
Date10 July 2008
InstitutionsBusiness, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienökonomie (Prof. Dr. Gabriel Lee)
Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Immobilienenwirtschaft / IRE|BS > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienökonomie (Prof. Dr. Gabriel Lee)
Identification Number
ValueType
RePEc:bay:rdwiwi:9397UNSPECIFIED
Classification
NotationType
R33Journal of Economics Literature Classification
C53Journal of Economics Literature Classification
KeywordsKreditgewährung , Gewerbeimmobilien , Vektor-autoregressives Modell
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
StatusPublished
RefereedNo, this document will not be refereed
Created at the University of RegensburgYes
URN of the UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-opus-10194
Item ID9397

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