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Bank lending effect on German commercial property prices
Gruber, Johannes and Lee, Gabriel (2008) Bank lending effect on German commercial property prices. Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft 428, Working Paper, Regensburg.Date of publication of this fulltext: 10 Jul 2008 06:34
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.9397
Abstract
This paper analyzes the effects of bank lending on German commercial property prices. The theory on the role of financial intermediaries in business cycle activity states that lending activity is characterized by asymmetric information between borrowers and lenders. As a consequence, interest rates may not move to clear lending markets (as in models with moral hazard and adverse selection ...
This paper analyzes the effects of bank lending on German commercial property prices. The theory on the role of financial intermediaries in business cycle activity states that lending activity is characterized by asymmetric information between borrowers and lenders. As a consequence, interest rates may not move to clear lending markets (as in models with moral hazard and adverse selection elements) or firms' net worth may play a critical role as collateral in influencing lending activity (as in models with agency costs). While the theory is concrete, the debate on the empirical support for these models continues. In this paper, our goal is to continue in exploring this debate by estimating a recursive VAR model using German (both aggregate and regional level) commercial property data from 1975 to 2004. Unlike other previous empirical results in commercial real estate literature, our main results show a weak negative correlation between growth in property prices and growth in credit, especially at the regional level.
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Details
| Item type | Monograph (Working Paper) | ||||||
| Place of Publication: | Regensburg | ||||||
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| Series of the University of Regensburg: | Regensburger Diskussionsbeiträge zur Wirtschaftswissenschaft | ||||||
| Volume: | 428 | ||||||
| Number of Pages: | 20 | ||||||
| Date | 10 July 2008 | ||||||
| Institutions | Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienökonomie (Prof. Dr. Gabriel Lee) Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Immobilienenwirtschaft / IRE|BS > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienökonomie (Prof. Dr. Gabriel Lee) | ||||||
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| Keywords | Kreditgewährung , Gewerbeimmobilien , Vektor-autoregressives Modell | ||||||
| Dewey Decimal Classification | 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics | ||||||
| Status | Published | ||||||
| Refereed | No, this document will not be refereed | ||||||
| Created at the University of Regensburg | Yes | ||||||
| URN of the UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-opus-10194 | ||||||
| Item ID | 9397 |
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