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Quantifying Systemic Risk by Solutions of the Mean-Variance Risk Model
Jurczyk, Jan, Eckrot, Alexander und Morgenstern, Ingo (2016) Quantifying Systemic Risk by Solutions of the Mean-Variance Risk Model. PLoS ONE 11 (6), e0158444.Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 25 Aug 2016 08:09
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.34470
Zusammenfassung
The world is still recovering from the financial crisis peaking in September 2008. The triggering event was the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. To detect such turmoils, one can investigate the time-dependent behaviour of correlations between assets or indices. These cross-correlations have been connected to the systemic risks within markets by several studies in the aftermath of this crisis. We ...
The world is still recovering from the financial crisis peaking in September 2008. The triggering event was the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. To detect such turmoils, one can investigate the time-dependent behaviour of correlations between assets or indices. These cross-correlations have been connected to the systemic risks within markets by several studies in the aftermath of this crisis. We study 37 different US indices which cover almost all aspects of the US economy and show that monitoring an average investor's behaviour can be used to quantify times of increased risk. In this paper the overall investing strategy is approximated by the ground-states of the mean-variance model along the efficient frontier bound to real world constraints. Changes in the behaviour of the average investor is utlilized as a early warning sign.
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| Dokumentenart | Artikel | ||||||
| Titel eines Journals oder einer Zeitschrift | PLoS ONE | ||||||
| Verlag: | PLOS | ||||||
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| Ort der Veröffentlichung: | SAN FRANCISCO | ||||||
| Band: | 11 | ||||||
| Nummer des Zeitschriftenheftes oder des Kapitels: | 6 | ||||||
| Seitenbereich: | e0158444 | ||||||
| Datum | 28 Juni 2016 | ||||||
| Institutionen | Physik > Institut für Theoretische Physik > Professor Morgenstern > Arbeitsgruppe Ingo Morgenstern Physik > Institut für Theoretische Physik > Professor Morgenstern > Arbeitsgruppe Ingo Morgenstern | ||||||
| Identifikationsnummer |
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| Stichwörter / Keywords | PORTFOLIO SELECTION-PROBLEMS; HYBRID LOCAL SEARCH; CROSS-CORRELATIONS; OPTIMIZATION; TRANSITIONS; MARKET; | ||||||
| Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation | 500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 530 Physik | ||||||
| Status | Veröffentlicht | ||||||
| Begutachtet | Ja, diese Version wurde begutachtet | ||||||
| An der Universität Regensburg entstanden | Ja | ||||||
| URN der UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-344706 | ||||||
| Dokumenten-ID | 34470 |
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