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Jurczyk, Jan ; Eckrot, Alexander ; Morgenstern, Ingo

Quantifying Systemic Risk by Solutions of the Mean-Variance Risk Model

Jurczyk, Jan, Eckrot, Alexander und Morgenstern, Ingo (2016) Quantifying Systemic Risk by Solutions of the Mean-Variance Risk Model. PLoS ONE 11 (6), e0158444.

Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 25 Aug 2016 08:09
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.34470


Zusammenfassung

The world is still recovering from the financial crisis peaking in September 2008. The triggering event was the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. To detect such turmoils, one can investigate the time-dependent behaviour of correlations between assets or indices. These cross-correlations have been connected to the systemic risks within markets by several studies in the aftermath of this crisis. We ...

The world is still recovering from the financial crisis peaking in September 2008. The triggering event was the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. To detect such turmoils, one can investigate the time-dependent behaviour of correlations between assets or indices. These cross-correlations have been connected to the systemic risks within markets by several studies in the aftermath of this crisis. We study 37 different US indices which cover almost all aspects of the US economy and show that monitoring an average investor's behaviour can be used to quantify times of increased risk. In this paper the overall investing strategy is approximated by the ground-states of the mean-variance model along the efficient frontier bound to real world constraints. Changes in the behaviour of the average investor is utlilized as a early warning sign.



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Details

DokumentenartArtikel
Titel eines Journals oder einer ZeitschriftPLoS ONE
Verlag:PLOS
Ort der Veröffentlichung:SAN FRANCISCO
Band:11
Nummer des Zeitschriftenheftes oder des Kapitels:6
Seitenbereich:e0158444
Datum28 Juni 2016
InstitutionenPhysik > Institut für Theoretische Physik > Professor Morgenstern > Arbeitsgruppe Ingo Morgenstern
Physik > Institut für Theoretische Physik > Professor Morgenstern > Arbeitsgruppe Ingo Morgenstern
Identifikationsnummer
WertTyp
10.1371/journal.pone.0158444DOI
Article-ID: e0158444Andere
Stichwörter / KeywordsPORTFOLIO SELECTION-PROBLEMS; HYBRID LOCAL SEARCH; CROSS-CORRELATIONS; OPTIMIZATION; TRANSITIONS; MARKET;
Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 530 Physik
StatusVeröffentlicht
BegutachtetJa, diese Version wurde begutachtet
An der Universität Regensburg entstandenJa
URN der UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-344706
Dokumenten-ID34470

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