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On Modeling Risk Shocks
Dorofeenko, Victor, Lee, Gabriel, Salyer, Kevin und Strobel, Johannes (2016) On Modeling Risk Shocks. Working Paper.Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 28 Sep 2016 09:17
Monographie
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.34638
Zusammenfassung
Within the context of a financial accelerator model, we model time-varying uncertainty (i.e. risk shocks) through the use of a mixture Normal model with time variation in the weights applied to the underlying distributions characterizing entrepreneur productivity. Specifically, we model capital producers (i.e. the entrepreneurs) as either low-risk (relatively small second moment for productivity) ...
Within the context of a financial accelerator model, we model time-varying uncertainty (i.e. risk shocks) through the use of a mixture Normal model with time variation in the weights applied to the underlying distributions characterizing entrepreneur productivity. Specifically, we model capital producers (i.e. the entrepreneurs) as either low-risk (relatively small second moment for productivity) and high-risk (relatively large second moment for productivity) and the fraction of both types is time-varying. We show that a small change in the fraction of risky types (a change from 1% to 2% of the population) can result in a large quantitative effect or a risk shock relative to standard models. The bankruptcy rate and the risk premium in the economy are very sensitive to a change in the composition of agents and is countercyclical.
Beteiligte Einrichtungen
Details
| Dokumentenart | Monographie (Working Paper) |
| Datum | 18 Mai 2016 |
| Institutionen | Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienökonomie (Prof. Dr. Gabriel Lee) Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Immobilienenwirtschaft / IRE|BS > Lehrstuhl für Immobilienökonomie (Prof. Dr. Gabriel Lee) Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Immobilienenwirtschaft / IRE|BS |
| Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation | 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft |
| Status | Unbekannt / Keine Angabe |
| Begutachtet | Nein, diese Version wurde noch nicht begutachtet (bei preprints) |
| An der Universität Regensburg entstanden | Zum Teil |
| URN der UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-346381 |
| Dokumenten-ID | 34638 |
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