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Bruckmaier, Georg ; Krauss, Stefan ; Binder, Karin ; Hilbert, Sven ; Brunner, Martin

Tversky and Kahneman’s Cognitive Illusions: Who Can Solve Them, and Why?

Bruckmaier, Georg, Krauss, Stefan , Binder, Karin , Hilbert, Sven and Brunner, Martin (2021) Tversky and Kahneman’s Cognitive Illusions: Who Can Solve Them, and Why? Frontiers in Psychology 12, p. 584689.

Date of publication of this fulltext: 13 Jun 2022 07:49
Article
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.51277


Abstract

In the present paper we empirically investigate the psychometric properties of some of the most famous statistical and logical cognitive illusions from the "heuristics and biases" research program by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, who nearly 50 years ago introduced fascinating brain teasers such as the famous Linda problem, the Wason card selection task, and so-called Bayesian reasoning ...

In the present paper we empirically investigate the psychometric properties of some of the most famous statistical and logical cognitive illusions from the "heuristics and biases" research program by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, who nearly 50 years ago introduced fascinating brain teasers such as the famous Linda problem, the Wason card selection task, and so-called Bayesian reasoning problems (e.g., the mammography task). In the meantime, a great number of articles has been published that empirically examine single cognitive illusions, theoretically explaining people's faulty thinking, or proposing and experimentally implementing measures to foster insight and to make these problems accessible to the human mind. Yet these problems have thus far usually been empirically analyzed on an individual-item level only (e.g., by experimentally comparing participants' performance on various versions of one of these problems). In this paper, by contrast, we examine these illusions as a group and look at the ability to solve them as a psychological construct. Based on an sample of N = 2,643 Luxembourgian school students of age 16-18 we investigate the internal psychometric structure of these illusions (i.e., Are they substantially correlated? Do they form a reflexive or a formative construct?), their connection to related constructs (e.g., Are they distinguishable from intelligence or mathematical competence in a confirmatory factor analysis?), and the question of which of a person's abilities can predict the correct solution of these brain teasers (by means of a regression analysis).



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Details

Item typeArticle
Journal or Publication TitleFrontiers in Psychology
Publisher:Frontiers
Place of Publication:LAUSANNE
Volume:12
Page Range:p. 584689
Date12 April 2021
InstitutionsHuman Sciences > Institut für Bildungswissenschaft > Professur für Methoden der empirischen Bildungsforschung - Prof. Dr. Sven Hilbert
Mathematics > Prof. Dr. Stefan Krauss
Identification Number
ValueType
10.3389/fpsyg.2021.584689DOI
WOS:000643715400001Web of Science ID
KeywordsNOTORIOUS BRAIN TEASER; CONJUNCTION FALLACY; SAMPLE-SIZE; INDIVIDUAL-DIFFERENCES; NATURAL FREQUENCIES; ECOLOGICAL RATIONALITY; GENDER-DIFFERENCES; EMPIRICAL-LAW; MATHEMATICS; REPRESENTATION; statistical reasoning; logical thinking; cognitive illusion; Monty Hall problem; Wason task; Linda problem; hospital problem; Bayesian reasoning
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 370 Education
500 Science > 510 Mathematics
StatusPublished
RefereedYes, this version has been refereed
Created at the University of RegensburgPartially
URN of the UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-512773
Item ID51277

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