| Download ( PDF | 618kB) Repository staff only |
Frequency phobia in spite of probability blindness
Conference or workshop item
Weber, Patrick, Krauss, Stefan
and Binder, Karin
(2018)
Frequency phobia in spite of probability blindness.
In: 10th International Conference on Teaching Statistics - ICOTS 10 2018, 8 – 13 July 2018, Kyoto, Japan.
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.51336
Abstract
Empirical research has repeatedly proven the facilitating effect of “natural frequencies” when it comes to solving Bayesian problems (e.g., Gigerenzer & Hoffrage, 1995). However, in a study with 183 university students, we found that the beneficial strategy of translating complicated conditional probabilities (e.g., “80%”) into natural frequencies (e.g., “8 out of 10”) is for the most part not ...
Empirical research has repeatedly proven the facilitating effect of “natural frequencies” when it comes to solving Bayesian problems (e.g., Gigerenzer & Hoffrage, 1995). However, in a study with 183 university students, we found that the beneficial strategy of translating complicated conditional probabilities (e.g., “80%”) into natural frequencies (e.g., “8 out of 10”) is for the most part not being used by participants. On the contrary, even when statistical information was presented in natural frequencies, most of the students translated the natural frequencies they had been given back into probabilities – with the unfortunate consequence that they could no longer solve the task.
Involved Institutions
Details
| Item type | Conference or workshop item (Speech) |
| Date | 2018 |
| Date of publication | 15 Jun 2022 09:54 |
| Additional Information (public) | In M. A. Sorto, A. White, & L. Guyot (Eds.), Looking back, looking forward. Proceedings of the Tenth International Conference on Teaching Statistics (ICOTS10, July, 2018), Kyoto, Japan. Voorburg, The Netherlands: International Statistical Institute |
| Institutions | Mathematics > Prof. Dr. Stefan Krauss |
| Dewey Decimal Classification | 500 Science > 510 Mathematics |
| Status | Unknown |
| Refereed | Unknown |
| Created at the University of Regensburg | Yes |
| Item ID | 51336 |
Download Statistics
Download Statistics