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Weber, Patrick ; Krauss, Stefan ; Binder, Karin

Frequency phobia in spite of probability blindness

Weber, Patrick, Krauss, Stefan und Binder, Karin (2018) Frequency phobia in spite of probability blindness. In: 10th International Conference on Teaching Statistics - ICOTS 10 2018, 8 – 13 July 2018, Kyoto, Japan.

Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 15 Jun 2022 09:54
Konferenz- oder Workshop-Beitrag
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.51336


Zusammenfassung

Empirical research has repeatedly proven the facilitating effect of “natural frequencies” when it comes to solving Bayesian problems (e.g., Gigerenzer & Hoffrage, 1995). However, in a study with 183 university students, we found that the beneficial strategy of translating complicated conditional probabilities (e.g., “80%”) into natural frequencies (e.g., “8 out of 10”) is for the most part not ...

Empirical research has repeatedly proven the facilitating effect of “natural frequencies” when it comes to solving Bayesian problems (e.g., Gigerenzer & Hoffrage, 1995). However, in a study with 183 university students, we found that the beneficial strategy of translating complicated conditional probabilities (e.g., “80%”) into natural frequencies (e.g., “8 out of 10”) is for the most part not being used by participants. On the contrary, even when statistical information was presented in natural frequencies, most of the students translated the natural frequencies they had been given back into probabilities – with the unfortunate consequence that they could no longer solve the task.


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Details

DokumentenartKonferenz- oder Workshop-Beitrag (Vortrag)
Datum2018
Zusätzliche Informationen (Öffentlich)In M. A. Sorto, A. White, & L. Guyot (Eds.), Looking back, looking forward. Proceedings of the Tenth International Conference on Teaching Statistics (ICOTS10, July, 2018), Kyoto, Japan. Voorburg, The Netherlands: International Statistical Institute
InstitutionenMathematik > Prof. Dr. Stefan Krauss
Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 510 Mathematik
StatusUnbekannt / Keine Angabe
BegutachtetUnbekannt / Keine Angabe
An der Universität Regensburg entstandenJa
Dokumenten-ID51336

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