Measuring people’s covariational reasoning in Bayesian situations

URN to cite this document:: urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-548723
DOI to cite this document:: 10.5283/epub.54872

Steib, Nicole ; Krauss, Stefan

; Binder, Karin

; Büchter, Theresa ; Böcherer-Linder, Katharina ; Eichler, Andreas ; Vogel, Markus

License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
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Date of publication of this fulltext: 20 Oct 2023 09:43

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Abstract

Previous research on Bayesian reasoning has typically investigated people’s ability to assess a posterior probability (i.e., a positive predictive value) based on prior knowledge (i.e., base rate, true-positive rate, and false-positive rate). In this article, we systematically examine the extent to which people understand the effects of changes in the three input probabilities on the positive ...