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Steib, Nicole ; Krauss, Stefan ; Binder, Karin ; Büchter, Theresa ; Böcherer-Linder, Katharina ; Eichler, Andreas ; Vogel, Markus

Measuring people’s covariational reasoning in Bayesian situations

Steib, Nicole, Krauss, Stefan , Binder, Karin , Büchter, Theresa, Böcherer-Linder, Katharina, Eichler, Andreas und Vogel, Markus (2023) Measuring people’s covariational reasoning in Bayesian situations. Frontiers in Psychology 14.

Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 20 Okt 2023 09:43
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.54872


Zusammenfassung

Previous research on Bayesian reasoning has typically investigated people's ability to assess a posterior probability (i.e., a positive predictive value) based on prior knowledge (i.e., base rate, true-positive rate, and false-positive rate). In this article, we systematically examine the extent to which people understand the effects of changes in the three input probabilities on the positive ...

Previous research on Bayesian reasoning has typically investigated people's ability to assess a posterior probability (i.e., a positive predictive value) based on prior knowledge (i.e., base rate, true-positive rate, and false-positive rate). In this article, we systematically examine the extent to which people understand the effects of changes in the three input probabilities on the positive predictive value, that is, covariational reasoning. In this regard, two different operationalizations for measuring covariational reasoning (i.e., by single-choice vs. slider format) are investigated in an empirical study with N = 229 university students. In addition, we aim to answer the question wheter a skill in "conventional" Bayesian reasoning is a prerequisite for covariational reasoning.



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Details

DokumentenartArtikel
Titel eines Journals oder einer ZeitschriftFrontiers in Psychology
Verlag:FRONTIERS MEDIA SA
Ort der Veröffentlichung:LAUSANNE
Band:14
Datum16 Oktober 2023
InstitutionenMathematik
Projekte
Gefördert von: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) (432517857)
Identifikationsnummer
WertTyp
10.3389/fpsyg.2023.1184370DOI
WOS:001089555100001Web of Science
Stichwörter / KeywordsNATURAL FREQUENCIES; REPRESENTATION; covariational reasoning; Bayesian reasoning; double-tree; unit square; natural frequencies
Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 510 Mathematik
StatusVeröffentlicht
BegutachtetJa, diese Version wurde begutachtet
An der Universität Regensburg entstandenJa
URN der UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-548723
Dokumenten-ID54872

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