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Measuring people’s covariational reasoning in Bayesian situations
Steib, Nicole, Krauss, Stefan
, Binder, Karin
, Büchter, Theresa, Böcherer-Linder, Katharina, Eichler, Andreas und Vogel, Markus
(2023)
Measuring people’s covariational reasoning in Bayesian situations.
Frontiers in Psychology 14.
Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 20 Okt 2023 09:43
Artikel
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.54872
Zusammenfassung
Previous research on Bayesian reasoning has typically investigated people's ability to assess a posterior probability (i.e., a positive predictive value) based on prior knowledge (i.e., base rate, true-positive rate, and false-positive rate). In this article, we systematically examine the extent to which people understand the effects of changes in the three input probabilities on the positive ...
Previous research on Bayesian reasoning has typically investigated people's ability to assess a posterior probability (i.e., a positive predictive value) based on prior knowledge (i.e., base rate, true-positive rate, and false-positive rate). In this article, we systematically examine the extent to which people understand the effects of changes in the three input probabilities on the positive predictive value, that is, covariational reasoning. In this regard, two different operationalizations for measuring covariational reasoning (i.e., by single-choice vs. slider format) are investigated in an empirical study with N = 229 university students. In addition, we aim to answer the question wheter a skill in "conventional" Bayesian reasoning is a prerequisite for covariational reasoning.
Beteiligte Einrichtungen
Details
| Dokumentenart | Artikel | ||||||
| Titel eines Journals oder einer Zeitschrift | Frontiers in Psychology | ||||||
| Verlag: | FRONTIERS MEDIA SA | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ort der Veröffentlichung: | LAUSANNE | ||||||
| Band: | 14 | ||||||
| Datum | 16 Oktober 2023 | ||||||
| Institutionen | Mathematik | ||||||
| Projekte |
Gefördert von:
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG)
(432517857)
| ||||||
| Identifikationsnummer |
| ||||||
| Stichwörter / Keywords | NATURAL FREQUENCIES; REPRESENTATION; covariational reasoning; Bayesian reasoning; double-tree; unit square; natural frequencies | ||||||
| Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation | 500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik > 510 Mathematik | ||||||
| Status | Veröffentlicht | ||||||
| Begutachtet | Ja, diese Version wurde begutachtet | ||||||
| An der Universität Regensburg entstanden | Ja | ||||||
| URN der UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-548723 | ||||||
| Dokumenten-ID | 54872 |
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