Zusammenfassung
This note presents a very brief history of the observation that the probability of the material conditional A superset of B is in general different from, but cannot be less than, the conditional probability of B given A. The difference between the two probabilities is significant for the interpretation of conditionals and for the possibility of inductive probability. It can be quantitatively ...
Zusammenfassung
This note presents a very brief history of the observation that the probability of the material conditional A superset of B is in general different from, but cannot be less than, the conditional probability of B given A. The difference between the two probabilities is significant for the interpretation of conditionals and for the possibility of inductive probability. It can be quantitatively specified in so-called 'excess laws' for which Popper appears to have claimed priority. I argue that such a priority claim should be rejected and credit should instead be given, if to anyone, to Boole and Reichenbach instead.
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