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Piecewise Linear Transformation − Propagating Aleatoric Uncertainty in Neural Networks
Krapf, Thomas, Hagn, Michael, Miethaner, Paul, Schiller, Alexander, Luttner, Lucas und Heinrich, Bernd (2024) Piecewise Linear Transformation − Propagating Aleatoric Uncertainty in Neural Networks. In: 38th Annual AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 20.02.-27.02.2024, Vancouver, Kanada.Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 13 Mrz 2024 12:08
Konferenz- oder Workshop-Beitrag
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.57891
Zusammenfassung
Real-world data typically exhibit aleatoric uncertainty which has to be considered during data-driven decision-making to assess the confidence of the decision provided by machine learning models. To propagate aleatoric uncertainty repre-sented by probability distributions (PDs) through neural net-works (NNs), both sampling-based and function approxima-tion-based methods have been proposed. ...
Real-world data typically exhibit aleatoric uncertainty which has to be considered during data-driven decision-making to assess the confidence of the decision provided by machine learning models. To propagate aleatoric uncertainty repre-sented by probability distributions (PDs) through neural net-works (NNs), both sampling-based and function approxima-tion-based methods have been proposed. However, these methods suffer from significant approximation errors and are not able to accurately represent predictive uncertainty in the NN output. In this paper, we present a novel method, Piece-wise Linear Transformation (PLT), for propagating PDs through NNs with piecewise linear activation functions (e.g., ReLU NNs). PLT does not require sampling or specific as-sumptions about the PDs. Instead, it harnesses the piecewise linear structure of such NNs to determine the propagated PD in the output space. In this way, PLT supports the accurate quantification of predictive uncertainty based on the criterion exactness of the propagated PD. We assess this exactness in theory by showing error bounds for our propagated PD. Fur-ther, our experimental evaluation validates that PLT outper-forms competing methods on publicly available real-world classification and regression datasets regarding exactness. Thus, the PDs propagated by PLT allow to assess the uncer-tainty of the provided decisions, offering valuable support.
Beteiligte Einrichtungen
Details
| Dokumentenart | Konferenz- oder Workshop-Beitrag (Paper) | ||||
| Seitenbereich: | S. 20456-20464 | ||||
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| Datum | 24 März 2024 | ||||
| Institutionen | Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Wirtschaftsinformatik > Lehrstuhl für Wirtschaftsinformatik II (Prof. Dr. Bernd Heinrich) Informatik und Data Science > Fachbereich Wirtschaftsinformatik > Lehrstuhl für Wirtschaftsinformatik II (Prof. Dr. Bernd Heinrich) | ||||
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| Stichwörter / Keywords | Probabilistic Inference, Decision/Utility Theory, Other Foundations of Reasoning under Uncertainty, Probabilistic Programming, Uncertainty Representations | ||||
| Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation | 000 Informatik, Informationswissenschaft, allgemeine Werke > 004 Informatik | ||||
| Status | Veröffentlicht | ||||
| Begutachtet | Ja, diese Version wurde begutachtet | ||||
| An der Universität Regensburg entstanden | Ja | ||||
| URN der UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-578918 | ||||
| Dokumenten-ID | 57891 |
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