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Long Memory and the Term Structure of Risk, working paper WP 06-009
Budek, Jan, Schotman, Peter and Tschernig, Rolf (2006) Long Memory and the Term Structure of Risk, working paper WP 06-009. Working Paper.Date of publication of this fulltext: 05 Aug 2009 13:22
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.216
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Abstract
This paper focuses on the implications of asset return predictability on long-term portfolio choice when return forecasting variables exhibit long memory. Recent research in empirical finance argues that expected asset returns are time-varying and relates them to various predicting variables that historically reveal very gradual movements in time; hence, we aim at careful modelling of their ...
This paper focuses on the implications of asset return predictability on long-term portfolio choice when return forecasting variables exhibit long memory. Recent research in empirical finance argues that expected asset returns are time-varying and relates them to various predicting variables that historically reveal very gradual movements in time; hence, we aim at careful modelling of their persistence properties. For that purpose, we exploit the class of fractionally integrated processes. Our theoretical derivations indicate profound impact of the long-memory component on optimal long-term portfolio weights. We illustrate our approach to the modelling of asset return dynamics on post-war US data for equities, Treasury bonds, and cash.
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Details
| Item type | Monograph (Working Paper) |
| Number of Pages: | 29 |
|---|---|
| Date | 24 February 2006 |
| Institutions | Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Ökonometrie (Prof. Dr. Rolf Tschernig) |
| Keywords | Long-term portfolio choice; Term structure of risk; Linear processes with fractional integration |
| Dewey Decimal Classification | 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics |
| Status | Published |
| Refereed | Yes, this version has been refereed |
| Created at the University of Regensburg | Unknown |
| URN of the UB Regensburg | urn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-2161 |
| Item ID | 216 |

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