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Budek, Jan ; Schotman, Peter ; Tschernig, Rolf

Long Memory and the Term Structure of Risk, working paper WP 06-009

Budek, Jan, Schotman, Peter und Tschernig, Rolf (2006) Long Memory and the Term Structure of Risk, working paper WP 06-009. Working Paper.

Veröffentlichungsdatum dieses Volltextes: 05 Aug 2009 13:22
Monographie
DOI zum Zitieren dieses Dokuments: 10.5283/epub.216

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Zusammenfassung

This paper focuses on the implications of asset return predictability on long-term portfolio choice when return forecasting variables exhibit long memory. Recent research in empirical finance argues that expected asset returns are time-varying and relates them to various predicting variables that historically reveal very gradual movements in time; hence, we aim at careful modelling of their ...

This paper focuses on the implications of asset return predictability on long-term portfolio choice when return forecasting variables exhibit long memory. Recent research in empirical finance argues that expected asset returns are time-varying and relates them to various predicting variables that historically reveal very gradual movements in time; hence, we aim at careful modelling of their persistence properties. For that purpose, we exploit the class of fractionally integrated processes. Our theoretical derivations indicate profound impact of the long-memory component on optimal long-term portfolio weights. We illustrate our approach to the modelling of asset return dynamics on post-war US data for equities, Treasury bonds, and cash.



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Details

DokumentenartMonographie (Working Paper)
Seitenanzahl:29
Datum24 Februar 2006
InstitutionenWirtschaftswissenschaften > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Ökonometrie (Prof. Dr. Rolf Tschernig)
Stichwörter / KeywordsLong-term portfolio choice; Term structure of risk; Linear processes with fractional integration
Dewey-Dezimal-Klassifikation300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft
StatusVeröffentlicht
BegutachtetJa, diese Version wurde begutachtet
An der Universität Regensburg entstandenUnbekannt / Keine Angabe
URN der UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-2161
Dokumenten-ID216

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