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Budek, Jan ; Schotman, Peter ; Tschernig, Rolf

Long Memory and the Term Structure of Risk, working paper WP 06-009

Budek, Jan, Schotman, Peter and Tschernig, Rolf (2006) Long Memory and the Term Structure of Risk, working paper WP 06-009. Working Paper.

Date of publication of this fulltext: 05 Aug 2009 13:22
Monograph
DOI to cite this document: 10.5283/epub.216

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Abstract

This paper focuses on the implications of asset return predictability on long-term portfolio choice when return forecasting variables exhibit long memory. Recent research in empirical finance argues that expected asset returns are time-varying and relates them to various predicting variables that historically reveal very gradual movements in time; hence, we aim at careful modelling of their ...

This paper focuses on the implications of asset return predictability on long-term portfolio choice when return forecasting variables exhibit long memory. Recent research in empirical finance argues that expected asset returns are time-varying and relates them to various predicting variables that historically reveal very gradual movements in time; hence, we aim at careful modelling of their persistence properties. For that purpose, we exploit the class of fractionally integrated processes. Our theoretical derivations indicate profound impact of the long-memory component on optimal long-term portfolio weights. We illustrate our approach to the modelling of asset return dynamics on post-war US data for equities, Treasury bonds, and cash.



Involved Institutions


Details

Item typeMonograph (Working Paper)
Number of Pages:29
Date24 February 2006
InstitutionsBusiness, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Ökonometrie (Prof. Dr. Rolf Tschernig)
KeywordsLong-term portfolio choice; Term structure of risk; Linear processes with fractional integration
Dewey Decimal Classification300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
StatusPublished
RefereedYes, this version has been refereed
Created at the University of RegensburgUnknown
URN of the UB Regensburgurn:nbn:de:bvb:355-epub-2161
Item ID216

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